The final vote was 54-20-5, with 2 senators absent. Approved. President Klaus, who said that he was sorry that several senators have abandoned their moral integrity, surrendered to the pressure, and changed their opinions, won't sign the treaty before the Constitutional Court evaluates the new complaint about it - and as long as Ireland's official position is "No" which means that the treaty is dead. Below, some older events from the proceedings are summarized.In a few hours, the Czech Senate is going to vote about The Treaty of Lisbon. If they get stuck in infinite discussions, the vote will be postponed to tomorrow.
To pass, the treaty requires at least 60% of the senators who are present in the room to vote Yes. If all 81 senators are present, the treaty needs 49 votes. If 80 senators are there, 48 is enough, and so on.
The social democrats, Christian democrats, and some quasi-independent pro-EU democrats are going to endorse the document. Their explanation is that the country has to uncritically endorse any document that has been approved elsewhere. The communists are going to vote against the document because of the old anti-Western sentiments that they haven't changed since the Cold War. Both the Yes camp and the No camp have one exception that will vote in the opposite way: they cancel.
So the only party that is actually thinking about the consequences of the treaty for our present world is the center-right Civic Democratic Party, the strongest group in the Senate. The party is split. About 5 senators have declared their clear intent to vote Yes although none of them is enthusiastic about it. A few others are inclined to vote Yes while many others vigorously say No. Approximately 7 Yes senators from this party are needed for the treaty to pass. So the Yes result is somewhat "more likely than not".
Independently of the vote, the Czech Senate is readying a new complaint against the treaty for the Constitutional Court. President Klaus, whose signature is needed, has revealed that he wouldn't sign the document as long as another country is vetoing the document because the document must be considered dead if there exists a country that has rejected it. This attitude means he will only sign it if another referendum in Ireland changes their opinion from No to Yes.
Some semi-formalities summarized by the presidential signatures are also preventing the process from completion in Poland and Germany.
The senators are under a certain pressure. For example, Danny the Red, an obnoxious green communist from the 1968 Paris barricades who currently leads the Green Party in the EU, has declared that the Yes votes are going to be bought... by President Klaus himself (WTF!).
His is a typical Stalinist approach to democracy. Whoever disagrees with "the Party" (in this case, the Green Party) has to be besmirched and eliminated. I am happy that we have removed the infinitely power-thirsty political garbage from top politics back in 1989 and I don't want to allow similar garbage that is incompatible with freedom and democracy to return where it has once been.
It is true that some decisions are sometimes - although rarely - found to be affected by bribes but it is simply unacceptable to propagate such accusations without any evidence and against one selected camp only. Incidentally, most people who have been found to be bribed have been on Cohn-Bendit's side - they have been strikingly similar to him, politically and otherwise. If someone were buying deputies, they would be the cheaper choice, too.
The most recent poll by the public TV shows that the public is split, exactly 50-50.