Tuesday, June 30, 2009 ... Français/Deutsch/Español/Česky/Japanese/Related posts from blogosphere

Firefox 3.5 is very slow to load

If your Firefox 3.5 is very slow to load, the fix may be surprising: open Internet Explorer, go to Tools / Internet Options, and in the history section, remove the temporary internet files. Click OK. Firefox will start more quickly (less than 10 seconds instead of a minute). This is a temporary fix: an improved version 3.5.1 will be released before the end of July. But back to the original text:
Firefox 3.5 final

Mozilla Firefox is arguably the most important browser for TRF readers, especially because of the "Operation Aborted" bug that has returned and annoys most of the Internet Explorer 8 users again, despite these four new genuinely funny MSIE8 ads.

Meanwhile, with its 1.8 percent share, Google Chrome 3.0 beta (or earlier versions) continues to be a minority browser (although it's the primary browser of mine), partially for irrational reasons, partially because of the largely non-existent plugins.

Mozilla has just completed the new, faster, and better version of its browser,
Mozilla Firefox 3.5 final: download
It was released 40 seconds ago on the page above. Before you download the installation program from the page above, you should try to update your browser by Help/Update. The FF 3.5 RC3 users won't be offered any update because the third release candidate "succeeded" and is bitwise isomorphic to the final edition.



Click to zoom in.

I also recommend you to visit Tools/Addons manager and install a couple of useful plugins such as AutoPager (automatically downloads "next page" in various search engines, so that it is simply attached at the bottom and available by "Page Down"), CoolIris (a nice 3-dimensional wall with relevant pictures for each page), Flagfox (a flag icon showing the country of the current server), Minimap Addon (an easier way to open a map with a physical address that appears on a page), or the Chromifox Extreme Theme (resembling Google Chrome).

If you're a robot, you may want to try the about:robots URL

A chat with David Gross

If you have half an hour, here's an interview with David Gross from April 2009:



It's mostly about the work at the KITP, the big open questions, elegance in physics, his team's Nobel hats, limits of knowledge, and the generalities of the strong force. Moving pictures of the KITP, including the Gross wing and many string theorists, are included. Painfully enough, David also mentions "physics of climate change" around 5:30.

Monday, June 29, 2009 ... Français/Deutsch/Español/Česky/Japanese/Related posts from blogosphere

Transition to El Nino becomes official



According to the latest, today's weekly report,

ENSO cycle: recent evolution, current status, and predictions (PDF),
a transition from ENSO-neutral to El Nino conditions in the equatorial Pacific Ocean is underway (see page 3). The anomaly in the Nino 3.4 region is +0.9 °C (and very similar for the other regions) which is well above the +0.5 °C threshold defining the El Nino conditions.

At the end of 2007 and beginning of 2008, we had a La Nina episode (see page 26) which is partly responsible for the last year's status of the coldest year of the century so far.

At the end of 2008 and beginning of 2009, La Nina conditions were in place once again. However, they didn't make it to another La Nina episode because the average index failed to drop below -0.5 °C for five consecutive overlapping three-month periods - a defining criterion for an episode.

However, now we're back to El Nino conditions that have a big chance to make it into another episode. That would probably mean that the global mean temperatures would get a positive boost, too. The ENSO "ONI" index for the end of June 2009 is probably at the highest end-of-June level since 1997 when it was even higher, getting ready for the El Nino of the century that has made 1998 the warmest year on record.

I expect that the monthly temperatures for June 2009 - to be released in a few days - will already show a substantial warming relatively to May 2009, and if they won't (as some commenters revealed!), we will see a warming one month later, and it will continue for several months. A majority of ENSO models suggest that the El Nino could continue through early 2010.

People say that the lag between ENSO and its effects on the global mean temperature is 4-6 months. I don't disagree with that! But the ENSO index has been largely increasing since early January (see page 5/30 of the PDF file above), so even with the 6-month lag, we should be seeing signs of ENSO warming soon.

The PDO cool phase has apparently weakened, too. On the other hand, the Sun remains pretty quiet (5-day spotless streak) and it may contribute some cooling.

Saturday, June 27, 2009 ... Français/Deutsch/Español/Česky/Japanese/Related posts from blogosphere

Strings 2009: public lectures

The annual stringy conference in Rome has ended. A large part was dedicated to applications of the AdS/CFT correspondence in nuclear physics, condensed matter physics, and related realms: these methods have grown into a mature, well-established industrial sector which is both a good thing (because it works very well) and a bad thing (because it works too well and the main qualitative dreams have probably already been uncovered and the activity has become a routine).



Several talks were focusing on the booming field of F-theory bottom-up phenomenology - which has already arrived near the "top" because the constructions are already trying to construct the full compact manifolds - i.e. global models - not just the local map of the vicinity of the relevant singularities. I think it's very helpful that those several groups that work on this highly promising possible incorporation of the real world within string theory were forced to meet because I found the degree of interactions between these big shots less frequent than desirable. We'll see where their work goes.

By the way, Marsano, Saulina, and Schafer-Nameki released their new paper yesterday. It is constructing the full local F-theory compactifications that obey all the geometric constraints that were pointed out to naturally cure many problems of supersymmetric grand unified theories and predict many of their additional features such as various mass hierarchies.

It is almost possible to naturally explain all these patterns.

However, they showed that the F-theory framework is insanely predictive, indeed. In fact, it is so predictive that if they combine all the geometric expectations about the F-theory manifold that have been proposed during the last year, they can show that the realistic neutrino masses cannot emerge in the way described by other recent F-theory papers (because of missing and/or unwanted U(1) gauge groups). In other words, the total set of constraints that have been independently imposed in many papers is too strong and can't contain a realistic model that satisfies all the constraints at the same moment. Not to be excluded, some of the constraints have to be weakened: it is a highly constrained setup.

Let's return to the conference. Add Nima's talk about holography in the flat space (and twistor-related convergent properties of the S-matrix continued to the 2+2-dimensional signature), talks about finiteness of N=8 SUGRA, integrability of N=4 Yang-Mills, AdS4/CFT3 talks building upon the recent membrane minirevolution, attractors and advanced black hole entropy topics, links to the LHC, and Petr Hořava's lecture about the Hořava-Lifshitz gravity which was arguably concerned with the most unusual and least believable - you could say "most provoking" - paradigm on this conference, almost playing the role of Rovelli's talk in 2008 ("almost" because Petr works with a system that at least contains a spacetime).



Edwin Cartlidge (click) of the Physics World described some public lectures today - except for the lecture by Gabriele Veneziano about the beginning of time which was in Italian.

Nicola Cabibbo, the owner of the well-known angle (who was only denied the latest Nobel prize because, well, Nambu deserved it somewhat more than he did), gave a very non-technical, popular or even populist talk (as Moscadelburro observed) and introduced Edward Witten and Brian Greene.

Witten, perhaps influenced by his stay at CERN, focused on the LHC expectations, including supersymmetry. Moscadelburro said Hello to Witten! ;-) Brian Greene apparently gave a somewhat standard but formally optimized, state-of-the-art, multimedia, movie-quality introduction to string theory, adding that the existence of googol^5 vacua suddenly looks as a likely way to explain the smallness of the cosmological constant.

Mad radical leftists win in the U.S. House

When I returned home last night, I have been watching CSPAN-1 for many hours. The discussions about the Waxman-Markey "climate bill" were just a stunning experience.

H.R. 2454: the 1092-page version
H.R. 2454: the 932-page version
I can't find the 1201-page version anywhere.
First, a comparison. The proceedings in the Czech Parliament are often a farce. Deputies attack each other personally and they often (but not always) speak about off-topic issues. And yes, I often enjoy these exchanges, too - although they can be too much of a good thing. From this point of view, the members of the U.S. Congress (from both parties) are true professionals, relatively speaking. They're better rhetors who always try to focus on the topic.

However, do these superficial differences matter for the outcome of key votes such as the Waxman-Markey bill - and the results of their work are the only thing that a citizen really cares about (or should care about)? The result showed that they don't: the mad document has narrowly passed, 219:212. As the numbers show, the "victory" would be impossible without these 8 traitors:



The bill has 1201 pages, although this full version is nowhere to be found. About 300 pages were added yesterday at 3:09 am. Hillary may have received a call at 3 am, with a big threat to the U.S. Did she manage to save her country? No, she didn't.

It became extremely clear from the proceedings that virtually no one has read the bill, especially not the brand new 300-page amendment. No one in the U.S. House actually owned a copy of this amendment during the proceedings. John Boehner, the GOP minority leader, is close to an exception and we will discuss some of his findings below.

The supporters have uniformly been delusional imbeciles, talking about a shiny future, added jobs, reduced deficits, and saving the world. They have clearly no idea what's written in the bill and even if you told them, they wouldn't understand what it would mean. They're not capable of an elementary mental activity.

They're apparently not even supposed to be thinking: they are just paid to raise their hand in favor of any stupidity that their bosses ask them to support. They're individually irresponsible appendices of a filthy octopus. I just felt terrible for the U.S. when I saw e.g. those congresswomen who were manifestly included in the House because they were black, female, and simple-minded enough to blindly approve anything recommended by their white male "leaders".

Bill

Let me tell start somewhere. The very size of the bill, 1201 pages, means that most people - and even most "local experts" - have absolutely no chance to understand all of its glitches. (I offer USD 5 to the first person who shows some evidence that he or she has read the full text.) So this bill is, first of all, a stunning document transferring an immense amount of power to a few selected people who will know how to master the bill and benefit from its details.

For a comparison, a pretty good bill called the U.S. Constitution originally had four pages and it allowed a great country to work well for 230+ years. Those four pages are somewhat less than 1201 pages whose only purpose is to allow one particular green tumor to thrive for a few years, before it dies of hunger.

John Boehner has read most of it. He showed a graph of a hundred of institutions that are expected to "conspire" to make this newly planned huge sector of the grey economy thrive. Many of these institutions are new and their name is composed out of approximately 10 words each.

The bill allows the new octopus to infiltrate the life of all the individuals, force them to look for expert opinions about all kinds of things before very basic transactions, order even villages (which often can't afford to hire anyone) to employ useless green staff that is a part of this new mafia, force them to have power outlets (or expensive devices to sequester CO2, a harmless gas that we call life) at all conceivable and inconceivable, mostly useless places, and so on. In other words, you won't be able and your community or company won't be able to live normally without paying attention to the new mechanism and you won't be able to rely on having resources because you can always be ordered to waste them for nonsensical expenses dictated by the bill.

This bill is trying to distort ways how energy is used. Now, what activities depend on energy? It's impossible not to think about the crazy physics textbook that once made Richard Feynman so angry. The answer to all questions was "Energy makes it go". Feynman explained that children didn't learn anything, it was just an indoctrination by a vacuous cliché, and energy makes everything go but also stop. In fact, it is conserved, just being converted from one form to another. Sadly enough, the sentence "Energy makes everything go" is no longer vacuous with this bill because the bill implies that "Everything must be regulated".

Meanwhile, the bill is doing nothing measurable to actually help America become energy-independent: it does nothing to help nuclear energy, the realistic domestic sources of energy are being suppressed, and the currently unrealistic domestic sources of energy will probably remain unrealistic. Moreover, the bill depends on hundreds of technicalities reflecting the current details about existing technologies such as fuel cells. If there's any significant technological progress, which is the only hope to realize some dreams proclaimed by the bill, all these things will be getting obsolete and hundreds of pages will have to be modified and added (to describe the bureaucratic treatment of the new technologies) almost every year.

There are many regulations that imply that new billions of dollars will be moved from one place to another. However, the algorithms how to exactly calculate these billions and how to determine where they're moved are never well-defined, as Boehner has found out: the bill was clearly written by a few random sloppy amateurs-become-professionals - or the vagueness may have been either unavoidable or deliberate.

So whatever the reason is behind the vagueness, the bill will give an immense power to those who will be able to take over this gigantic new machinery and move billions to their preferred locations (and order such transfers) - a situation that is likely to attract huge corruption and make Saddam Hussein a modest, wise, and fair manager in comparison.

The extra expenses needed for this gigantic new structure to operate are going to be paid by the "polluters". That's very interesting because the same bill argues that there won't be any polluters in a near future. So who will pay for all these new green jobs at that time? Of course, this question is rhetorical because the U.S. will never get there.

Amazingly enough, this nearly unprecedented communist-bureaucratic revolution is being justified mostly by "climate change". 

The whole industrial activity of the U.S. since 1776 may have (temporarily) added something between 0.05 and 0.2 °C to the global temperatures (would you prefer to sacrifice the U.S. to avoid this "serious" change?), and the business-as-usual in the U.S. would contribute an additional 0.1 - 0.5 °C per the 21th century - i.e. until the year 2100 which is so far that almost none of us will be here to see it. I am convinced that even the IPCC will agree about the figures. The greenhouse warming is small, the U.S. only influence a small part of it, and the growth will naturally decrease in a few decades or a century because of decreasing fossil fuel reserves, anyway.

The unmeasurably small cooling to be achieved by a century of this new system - which will surely be lost in local and global fluctuations and many other effects influencing the temperature - must be a really valuable thing because the U.S. House is not only ready to add trillions of new debt but also willing to transform their previously great country to a tyranny where energy-dependent jobs will be escaping to more friendly countries, where elementary business and human acts - and indeed, even manifestations of life - will need a bureaucratic stamp and approval (by bureaucrats whose number will have to be so large that they will de facto cover every piece of the country), a nation that is going to plan a rationally unmotivated global trade war with all countries in the world that are gonna realize that similar bills are a road to hell (the U.S. want to become a bigger version of North Korea, a rogue state that must bugger everyone else about its insane ideological viewpoints, in order to mask its own self-imposed internal problems).

You know, the Bolsheviks decided to transform the Russian society in a similar radical way back in 1917. At least, the champions of the existing regime together with the blue-dog Mensheviks of that time had the guts to try to stop the spreading Bolshevik cancer. At the end, they failed, and Russia was decimated by the Bolsheviks for more than 70 years, suffering from the economic decline, tens of millions of murdered people, and bringing the world to the verge of a nuclear holocaust. When the Bolsheviks got settled, they had all kinds of peaceful plans, and virtually all of them turned out to be nothing else than a wishful thinking: the real progress in the economy doesn't come from plans of a few mediocre officials who declared themselves as being important, without having passed any tests showing that they're talented. The Waxman-Markey method to build new things in the economy is structurally analogous to the Lenin-Stalin method.

Is there someone in the U.S. today who will at least try to stop these blinded loons? At least the U.S. Senate? Well, I actually guess that the U.S. Senate will stop this looming storm. Meanwhile, we should better check that nothing like that will happen in Europe or at least not in the Czech Republic.

Friday, June 26, 2009 ... Français/Deutsch/Español/Česky/Japanese/Related posts from blogosphere

WSJ on swelling climate skepticism

These days, there are relatively many articles that are not afraid to point out facts that disagree with what was once called the "consensus". But I think that Kimberley Strassel did a very good job in her

The Climate Change Climate Change (click)
and summarized a lot of reasons and symptoms underlying the recent increase of climate skepticism across the world. Recommended for a big picture concerning the sociology of the debate.
The Goode Family 1x04 (3 parts)
... they have to hire a (white) gardener ...
... all episodes ...
All 40 comments below her article seem to be nice and skeptical, so I apologize to her in advance if the first nasty and alarmist comments will be written by readers who were sent over there from The Reference Frame. ;-)

If you want a longer and more complex reading, see the recent 98-page skeptical document prepared by the National Center for Environmental Economics for EPA. It summarizes a lot of "skeptical" findings from recent years and urges EPA to begin to behave scientifically again. (Hat tip: Gavin Schmidt.)



C-SPAN: Live: the U.S. Congress discusses and prepares to vote on the insane climate bill. The test vote has narrowly passed. These proceedings are a complete joke.

At 4:06 pm D.C. Daylight Saving Time, it turned out that no one owns those 300 extra pages of the bill that they are voting about - and maybe already approved. ;-) After Joe Barton asked, a female Democratic Big Cheese explained that she was not aware of any rules that the bill voted about must actually exist on the paper. :-)

Hundreds of Democrats don't even need to see the document: they're ready to raise their hand in favor of any method to throw trillions into the toilet. What a banana republic the U.S. are becoming.

Michael Jackson: 1958-2009

Michael Jackson, the king of pop, was betrayed by his heart. The cardiac arrest may have been caused by the drugs but they may have been many other factors involved.



While I was no canonical Jackson fan, I consider him a genius. Many songs - including Stranger in Moscow and Earth Song (yes!) - have made it to my top list, too. With his music and dance, he has been at the top of his field throughout most of his life. Even before he died, 50 concerts in London's O2 arena were sold out.

And yes, I have always despised and I still despise all kinds of bloody Jackson critics. His pale skin could have been caused by a skin disorder.



Click the image for a cheap Windows 7 upgrade.

Concerning his sexual life, I am convinced that he was a spiritually oriented, sensitive, and even inherently asexual man who has never hurt anyone - even though his emotional inclinations might have looked unusual to an average Joe. However, his dollars were irresistible for lots of parasites while his fame was too strong a source of jealousy for others.

R.I.P., Michael Jackson.

Thursday, June 25, 2009 ... Français/Deutsch/Español/Česky/Japanese/Related posts from blogosphere

U.S. climate panickers plan a global trade war

Benny Peiser's mailing list brought some interesting news from the world of climate policies,

Patrick Michaels and Sallie James
The New York Times
The proponents of the carbon regulation in the U.S. not only want to introduce a suicidal carbon tax. They also want to impose new tariffs on all nations who will fail to introduce the same suicidal carbon tax on their own territory.

In other words, they plan a global trade war against all skeptical nations. Cute. ;-)

Let me tell you who loses in such a trade war. Well, the answer is surprisingly that both sides lose. Trade is good for both sides, the seller and the buyer: that's why they agree to do the transaction. It follows that a trade war is bad for both sides: the seller (mostly China) and the buyer (mostly America).

However, there is still a sense in which the U.S. will lose more if this insanity is adopted: China and others will still be able to do business with others, circumventing the U.S. trading partners. On the other hand, the U.S. is willing to enter a trade war with the whole sensible world that doesn't adopt the measures.

You know, it's not just the skeptics who don't believe global warming (and this group is around 50% of the mankind). It's also the belivers who are just not "brave" enough to transform their belief into suicidal economic policies. The future U.S., previously the top champion of the free trade in the world, already weakened by insane and futile CO2 regulation on its own territory, wants to enter a trade war with a significant portion of the world - which will probably include BRIC and others. Wow.

I wonder whether the green nutcases will also start to threaten the skeptical world with nuclear weapons. You may choose: 0.5 °C of man-made warming (or cooling) in the 21st century, or a global nuclear Armageddon? Which of these two "catastrophes" is worse? ;-) The laws of Nature imply that we will only get the first one (i.e. nothing happens) if we manage to stop the fanatics but the historical experience suggests that we may get both if we will fail to do so.

And that's the memo.

Wednesday, June 24, 2009 ... Français/Deutsch/Español/Česky/Japanese/Related posts from blogosphere

Air France pictures: are they real?

I received two photographs from a memory card that was allegedly found in a good shape inside a broken camera. Are these pictures real or do they come from a catastrophic movie you know?





Shift/click the pictures to zoom in in another window.

OK, sorry, it is fake. In fact, readers have figured out that the pictures are screenshots from LOST, a well-known TV program. Those who are good detectives could have known that it was fake because the crash actually occurred at night.

Alarmism in a math-phys department

Last Wednesday and Thursday, I visited the capital of Slovakia. It was a nice trip and we didn't physically fight with Alexander or with the other participant in the debate, Prof Milan Lapin.

And Alexander's father was, in fact, the warmest and the most hospitable person in Slovakia I met - a fact that can't be diminished by his speaking Czech. ;-) Alexander moderated the debate fairly. Just like I expected, about 50% of the audience that joined us in the question period were skeptics, despite attempts of several people I won't name ;-) to invite as many "green" guests as possible.

The discussion never became "content-free". However, as the relevant replies were building upon each other, we could only cover 20% of Alexander's prepared topics. Many of the exchanges were sharp: general rules of politeness were not crossed.

So none of the debaters - your humble correspondent or Prof Milan Lapin - could really use any of their prepared material. About 90% of my preparations turned out to be useless - be sure that I have studied many topics (about impacts etc.) that we normally don't discuss or study too often (such as the frequency of fires, droughts etc.) but I have only used the "basic knowledge" and the figures that have been hardwired in my ROM for years.

Several viewers that are closer to me, including Czech viewers over the web (and, indirectly, some green participants in the audience) told me that I won - aced it - but I can't quite promise you that Prof Lapin is not hearing similar compliments. ;-)

The disagreements are fundamental and unfixable

I was surprised and disappointed that we couldn't agree about almost any of the basic methodological (and ethical) principles of science and almost any of the current technical data.

The reason why I incorrectly expected our disagreements to be mostly in the form, and not the actual content and principles, is that I still think that all members of the math-phys community (I mean of the MFF UK, my alma mater) share certain rational approaches and knowledge and are also able to search for certain up-to-date technical data on the Internet. I have simply never had such a radical disagreement about the scientific method back at my alma mater - and I was assuming the equally named MFF UK department in Bratislava to be its Slovak counterpart.

Let me tell you a few examples of our viewpoints that simply couldn't be reconciliated.

First, emotions, fear, and cultural backgrounds. At some moment, Prof Lapin began to blame AGW for thousands of victims of a heat wave. Also, he said that AGW will displace many people. Because those "conventional" tens of millions that are often said to be "forced to migrate" by the AGW were not enough, he chose billions. In fact, 6.8 billion people who are alive today were equally insufficient, so he has "improved" the argument and argued that AGW is soon gonna displace 10 billion people who will soon live on the Earth.

Now, I was able to stay mostly serious, and produce lots of verifiable numbers about the victims of freezing weather vs heat wave (be sure that in countries such as the U.K., the freezing people dominate) and the actual statistics about the number of moving people (including my uncles-emigrants on both sides) and the small percentage that does so because of the climate (and not because of economics). But yes, I couldn't resist to make a light comment - or a joke - about those 10 billion homeless casualties because that comment of Prof Lapin was simply a tragicomedy.

So I was instantly chastised, together with all the skeptical webs, for making fun out of such serious things. We were supposed to feel as killers of 10 billion people. ;-) You know, these things are not serious at all and it is simply not acceptable to create the atmosphere in which certain "scary" combinations of words, such as 10 billion homeless people, are able to scare everybody and stop any rational discussion or prevent people from being skeptics (as a wise scholar, a former boss of many institutions, essentially said after the debate: skepticism is essential for science). 10 billion homeless people may sound scary and it may be unpopular to oppose someone who claims to want to save these billions of people, and so on.

But what's still much more important is that the thought experiment about 10 billion homeless people is just dumb beyond imagination (I didn't use this or similar adjective in Bratislava). Making the number in the silly proposition larger may make the potential scary impact scarier but it diminishes or destroys the argument because it makes it more laughable. The threat is dumb and it must be clearly displayed and humiliated as dumb, much like the first scientists who couldn't be afraid to humiliate similarly (but not equally) dumb propositions of the Church that were also trying to silence any doubts by similarly brutal emotional intimidation. Heliocentrism also opposed God, thousands of wise priests, and threatened the human civilization, didn't it?

The amount of completely unsubstantiated fearmongering we've heard during those two hours or so was very large, and I frankly don't believe that any professor of meteorology at the corresponding department in (MFF UK) Prague would say the same things as Prof Lapin did. So if you want to interpret my statement as an indirect indication that the school in Bratislava is measurably inferior to its counterpart in Prague, please feel free to do so. I tried to debunk every single of them but we were still limited by a finite time.

Another scary argument Prof Lapin did was that 2 °C of warming would so rapidly change the amount of evaporation, circulation, supercooled vapors, or whatever the strange mixture of effects was supposed to be (his description seemed to describe the interior of stars, not a temperate climate after a 2-degree warming) that it would make life almost unbearable. On the other hand, I said that there was an easy way to solve the difficult physics problem and figure out how much evaporation and other things you get if the temperature jumps by 2 °C: simply cross the Danube and check how the things work in Hungary. Life exists - and you will be almost unable to see any difference.

While the wrong emotions promoted by Prof Lapin, if left unchallenged, would be seriously hurting the impartial atmosphere of the scientific research (and be sure that many people are literally scared by these "thermonuclear" arguments that use millions or billions of possible casualties, without giving a rational mechanism), there were many other attitudes that would do a similar job.

Ignorance in science exists

Prof Lapin and I agreed that we should avoid vague comments about possible phenomena that can't be described by well-defined physical words, and I have avoided them, enumerating lots of particular numbers about the cooling effects of clouds etc. instead. But what Prof Lapin also implicitly said was that the desire to say strict, well-defined things about the system is sufficient to learn the right theory of it.

That's, of course, complete nonsense. Even when we want to know the truth, we're not guaranteed to know it, and the first hypothesis we create to explain an effect doesn't have to be valid. It's my understanding that Prof Lapin disagreed with this simple obvious fact - something that I find unimaginable, and truth to be said, I still don't think that a sensible person can disagree with that.

Timescales, weather, and climate

The difference between the weather and the climate was also discussed. Someone asked about the 10 years of no warming, and 30 years of warming etc. So Prof Lapin was laughing out loud about any effect that can be seen at the 10-year timescale while those 30 years were the ultimate period that can be arbitrarily extrapolated because no slower variations exist in the climate, he argued.

So I listed lots of phenomena that take 1-4 years (ENSO), 20-60 years (regimes of PDO), centuries (slow solar variations, little ice age, perhaps the temporary effects of burning fossil fuels), millenia (deep ocean circulation), tens of thousands of years (Milankovitch cycles). There's simply no "gap". The threshold of 30 years separating the "climate" from the "weather" is a social convention - and it is not quite a coincidence that this length is comparable to the length of the human adulthood.

People simply think that if they watch the atmospheric phenomena for half of their life, they can already determine the "general" statistical conclusions which can be called the climate. There's clearly no sharp physics. There's no phase transition that occurs exactly at 30 years. It's not true that 30 years is the timescale at which the statistical test of any possible climate effect becomes statistically significant. How many years of observations are needed to separate noise from trends or cycles clearly depends on the effect we want to observe. The idea of a universal gap at the 30-year-long intervals is just childish.

Incredibly enough, Prof Lapin disagreed with all these things. Did he provide us with rational arguments why the infrared physics of the atmosphere truncates at 30 years? Of course he didn't. He couldn't. There's no such argument. There can't be any such argument because the statement is demonstrably false. In fact, PDO loves 30-year-long regimes so as far as the PDO contribution to the global temperature goes (and it is not negligible), trends in the following 30 years are likely to be negatively, not positively, correlated with the trends in the previous 30 years. Infinite linear extrapolations from 30-year intervals are as wrong as extrapolations from any other intervals.

So how did Prof Lapin support the statement about the 30 years where all observations of the climate become sharp? Well, he mentioned our wise ancestors who cleverly defined this borderline forever. Let me admit, I had to regulate myself a lot because I just can't believe that a professor of a math-and-physics department could think in this way. Why don't we also say that our wise ancestors decided that the world was created in 7 days? Or is he saying these things, too? What's the difference? Are we really supposed to consider worshiping of ancestors to be a scientific arguments?

The scientific method has just the opposite purpose - to increase our knowledge and to show, increasingly more efficiently, accurately, and comprehensively, that our ancestors were ignorant about many things. It doesn't seem that Prof Lapin agrees even with this point.

When he kind of realized that his presented argument in favor of the 30-year gap (the wise ancestors) wasn't enough, he added one more: what he just said is also being taught in the course he is teaching. ;-) Well, that must be a proof that it is correct! (Or a proof that the Slovak students are unfortunately being taught unscientific boulderdash.)

Trends and analyzing the observed data

Prof Lapin also said that whenever we remove the year 1998, we "obviously and clearly" get a recent global warming, e.g. from 2001. Well, this is just a demonstrably false assertion. When we use e.g. UAH MSU, even the 101 months in 2001-2009 (up to May) give a cooling trend by linear regression, by -1.34 °C per century.

I had an unprovable feeling that he knew that this was the case with the satellite data and he was caught saying another untrue proposition. So he said that the weather stations were much more accurate than the satellites.

Obviously, I discussed the advantages of the satellites (the global reach), the urban heat island effects and the barbecue/asphalt anomalies (or "standard features"?) that Anthony Watts became famous for. With a little bit of exaggeration, the surface records quantify how much the stations' managers enjoy barbecue parties. Prof Lapin argued that only 100 stations are being used for the weather stations records, and they're being perfectly checked etc. Well, even if it were true, and it is not, covering the globe with merely 100 stations would give a highly distorted picture of the "global" temperature.

I said that the global sea ice anomaly is just slightly above zero right now - I happen to observe these Cryosphere datasets a few times a week. Other teams actually show that the amount of ice is even higher than Cryosphere. Prof Lapin was talking about the "ongoing" -3 million squared kilometers (huge negative) anomaly. When I explained that the Southern Hemisphere anomaly was as positive as the Northern Hemisphere anomaly was negative, he argued that the Northern data show the "global climate" while the Southern data show a laughable local circulation of the oceans.

Wow. The last comic statement - that two hemispheres follow different laws of physics, exactly in the right way that Prof Lapin needs for his arguments - is even funnier if you realize that the circulation of the ocean near the South Pole is much harder than in the Arctic because there's actually a continent over there. ;-)

I actually had all these relevant pictures (like the sea ice graphs) with me and I could show them within a minute, but we didn't have time.

Similar disagreements occurred pretty much about every other piece of the global climate data. Concerning ENSO, I said that the Pacific sea surface temperatures are just transitioning to an El Nino episode, saying that the indicators are already positive enough for El Nino conditions. Incredibly, Prof Lapin argued that he had 1-day-old data and we were still inside a La Nina.

The first reason why it's not possible is that these indicators are being published on Mondays. One click is enough for you to check that my information was 100% accurate and Prof Lapin's information was 100% inaccurate. In this file from June 15th or June 22nd (page 1/30), page 3/30 talks about warmer-than-average SSTs and the likely transitioning to El Nino during Summer 2009. Page 4/30 already shows the yellow spot at the bottom and page 5/30 shows the anomalies to be +0.5, +0.5, +0.7, +0.5 in the Nino 4, 3.4, 3, 1+2 regions, respectively for June 15th and +0.6, +0.7, +0.8, +0.9 for June 22nd.

Predictions of models

So while I unfortunately got the feeling that Prof Lapin didn't have the slightest clue about the recent observational data, his knowledge about the theory of the greenhouse effect turned out to be equally non-existent. He correctly observed that the warming trend was getting smaller as a function of the altitude.

So I agreed that this was the case observationally and mentioned that according to the greenhouse-dominated models, it shouldn't be true at all. The theory predicts a hot spot 10 km above the equator, see the wrong fingerprint. This hot spot is not seen at all.

Prof Lapin has made it clear that he had never heard about the hot spot. That's surprising - more precisely inconsistent - because he had also said that he has read the whole IPCC report, being the only person in the room. To see the inconsistency, open the page 675 of the 2007 IPCC report (13/84 in the file). Figure 9.1 c,f shows the modeled hot spot from the greenhouse gases and from all the effects combined, respectively.

Prof Lapin defended his incorrect proposition - that the greenhouse effect must be faster near the surface - by an incorrect ad hoc argument, namely that the warming trend only depends on the CO2 concentration. Well, it doesn't. What mostly matters is the difference between emission and absorption (and convection), and for this quantity, the lapse rate and the tropopause are very important. His oversimplified argument clearly gives a theoretically wrong altitude profile.

So Prof Lapin is one of Slovakia's most famous climatologists but I may unfortunately have to give him an F from the subject.

Tuesday, June 23, 2009 ... Français/Deutsch/Español/Česky/Japanese/Related posts from blogosphere

James Hansen becomes a criminal

As expected, James Hansen and his intellectual peer, actress Daryl Hannah, were arrested in West Virginia:

Climate Scientist James Hansen Arrested in Mountaintop Removal Protest
An ordinary mortal human being might face significant problems but these particular habitual offenders are being protected by a whole movement of hard-left eco-terrorists so they are likely to get away with it and allowed to continue their work on the removal of the rule of law and other basic principles of capitalism.

Next time, if the police turns out to be insufficient as a tool to guarantee the ownership rights, the landlords may want to consider guns to protect their property against the trespassers.

By their desire to violate the laws whenever it is convenient, these radical activists make it very clear that they want to overthrow the very basic legal principles of the existing world and dramatically transform the procedures by which it works. They're not isolated hacks: incredibly enough, James Hansen continues to be employed by NASA and he has many allies in important chairs who are ready to implicitly endorse his criminal activity.

How far has the transformation of the system of justice gone? Is the new justice already in place, like it was after the Night of Broken Glass? The arrest in West Virginia suggests that it's not as bad yet. But will the police patiently arrest all similar trespassers in the future, despite the hints that such work is futile? Or are the owners of coal power plants and their assets going to become "legitimate" targets of pogroms?

We'll see. Coal industry supporters are here, too. In West Virginia, they encouraged cars to honk in support of coal.

Symmetry and beauty

Tommaso Dorigo shares a common misunderstanding of the concept of "beauty" and its relationship to symmetry in physics. For example, he incorrectly thinks that a spontaneously broken symmetry (such as supersymmetry that he dislikes for mostly irrational reasons) shows that the laws of physics are "uglier" than if the symmetry were unbroken. Previous articles about similar aesthetic topics include

and dozens of others. However, I want to look at different types and manifestations of symmetries, with the special focus on the question which of them are "beautiful" in the sense that they increase the chances that the physicists are on the right path. I will also try to demystify the ability of "beauty" to increase the probability of beautiful theories.

The symmetry is certainly not the only aspect of beauty in physics but it continues to be the most well-known one, and I will concentrate on it.

Yellow pages: types of symmetries

In physics, symmetries are classified and described by the mathematical notion of a group. There exist various types of groups and ways how they can manifest themselves in the laws of physics, especially the following:
  • discrete vs. continuous symmetries
  • global vs. local symmetries
  • internal vs. spacetime symmetries
  • exact vs. approximate symmetries
  • broken vs. unbroken symmetries
  • anomalous vs. anomaly-free symmetries
Not all 64 combinations of these "six bits" are allowed so it may be a good idea to spend some time with the relationships between these adjectives.

Discrete, continuous, global, and local symmetries

Every symmetry can be discrete or continuous: in the former case, the group is finite or countable; in the latter case, the group is uncountable as a set. The discreteness or continuity of the symmetries are separately compatible with all the adjectives below. For example, even discrete symmetries may be local i.e. gauge symmetries: if they're local, there must exist "cosmic strings" (or e.g. D7-branes, in 10 dimensions) so that the monodromy around them generates the desired element of the group.

There are good reasons to think that in quantum gravity, all symmetries must be local symmetries - or at least subgroups of bigger symmetry groups that are naturally local. That's why e.g. the Lorentz symmetry must be extended to the whole diffeomorphism group or the general covariance. It's morally the case because every measurement or transformation can be done locally in general relativity.

That doesn't mean that we should imagine that global symmetries play no role in physics. Quite on the contrary. They're important. Only global symmetries are genuine symmetries that act on physical objects. Gauge symmetries are redundancies of the description - and all acceptable configurations of matter must actually be invariant (i.e. singlets) under all gauge symmetries. Moreover, the nature of a gauge symmetry often depends on the description of the physical system that you choose.

The previous paragraph may confuse you: so which of the symmetries, local or global, are truly physical? Well, only global symmetries are physical in the sense that they don't depend on the description. On the other hand, there must always exist a description in which all these global symmetries are extended to a gauge group and this gauge group is not an invariant property of physics. ;-)

For example, in AdS/CFT, the AdS isometry group is extended to the whole diffeomorphism group in the bulk. However, there is an alternative description, in terms of a gauge theory on the boundary, that has no diffeomorphism group to start with: it is, in some sense, replaced by a completely different U(N) group.

Is it confusing? Do you think that there's a contradiction? There's none. The global symmetries - a special group of "large transformations" inside the extended group of local symmetries - still make a physical sense because they usually act on the asymptotic conditions in space or time non-trivially. Such "large transformations" are actually not required to annihilate the physical states (only the "small" transformations in the gauge groups have to do so); the physical states may transform nontrivially under them.

The global symmetries include translations in space and time, rotations, and Lorentz transformations (or the unbroken isometries of any background whose superselection sector you consider). In the context of gravity, these are "large transformations" within a larger and local diffeomorphism group. But because the physical states can transform nontrivially under these large transformations, these symmetries are useful to classify physical states, according to representations. That's why we can assign physical states with the energy, momentum, and angular momentum, among other things.

Other global symmetries are discrete. They probably include the baryon number - a U(1) symmetry that changes the phases of fields that carry a nonzero baryon charge.

By Emmy Noether's profound theorem, each global symmetry is linked to a conservation law and vice versa. The conservation of energy or momentum or angular momentum is linked to the translational symmetry in time or space or the rotational symmetry. The Lorentz or Galilean symmetry is associated with the conserved velocity of the center-of-mass.

Other discrete symmetries of Nature include parity, charge conjugation, and time reversal. All these discrete Z2 symmetries are actually broken by the weak nuclear interactions and the overall CPT transformation is the only one that has to be preserved as long as the Lorentz symmetry is preserved, too (as Wolfgang Pauli has proved). The C and P symmetries are broken massively by the neutrino sector: there doesn't even exist a right-handed neutrino field that could be mapped to the ordinary left-handed neutrino field (or its complex conjugate) by the C or P transformation. The CP symmetry is broken by even subtler effects: the required "symmetric fields" are available but a subtle dynamical phase in the CKM matrix breaks the symmetry.

For a fixed choice of degrees of freedom, every kind of symmetry - local or global - relates objects, interactions, and phenomena that were previously thought of as independent. That's why every symmetry that is compatible with the known physical phenomena reduces the number of independent concepts in physics. A priori, there is no reason to think that a symmetry should be compatible with the known phenomena. So whenever it is, such an insight makes our understanding of physics more compact, tightly, unified, and beautiful.

Internal symmetries are able to relate a large number of seemingly or previously unrelated fields and interactions. Spacetime symmetries play a special role because every physical phenomenon must respect the existence of spacetime, at least in the long-distance approximation. ;-) Because all the fields and particles share the same spacetime, the spacetime symmetries are universal for all of them. Translations, rotations, and Lorentz boosts are spacetime symmetries (much like the broken parity, i.e. the left-right mirror reflection). Supersymmetry is partially a spacetime symmetry, partially an internal symmetry: it has to act both on internal and spacetime properties of fields.

The commutator of two supersymmetry transformations is a translation, so you must clearly include supersymmetry among the symmetries that do act on spacetime. That's another point that the laymen (including most experimenters) usually misunderstand. Supersymmetry manifests itself by relating different particle species - bosons and fermions - and by doing so, it resembles the internal symmetries. However, the critics argue that no superpartners of known particles have been observed so far, so this whole structure is redundant and supersymmetry doesn't constrain anything because the "power to constrain" only emerges after the field content is doubled.

What these people neglect is the fact that supersymmetry belongs among the spacetime symmetries. The rotational symmetry doesn't reduce the number of particle species, either. But it reduces the spectrum of allowed interactions, and so does supersymmetry. The fact that the rotational symmetry, despite its strict rules, is compatible with all known experiments is highly nontrivial and increases the beauty and unity of the laws of physics - and by the Bayesian inference (because the theory has passed a difficult test), the probability that the whole framework is valid.

The same thing holds for supersymmetry which is also constraining: the main difference is that supersymmetry is spontaneously broken (if it exists). As we will argue at the very end, this difference doesn't and can't influence the degree of internal beauty of supersymmetry.

Broken, anomalous, approximate, and accidental symmetries

We haven't discussed the three other pairs of adjectives yet. Symmetries can be exact or they can fail to be exact. There are several qualitatively different reasons why the exactness may disappear. And depending on the reason, the conclusions about the beauty and our knowledge about the right theory - as constrained by the symmetries - are very different.

First, a symmetry can fail to be exact, even at the fundamental level. If that's the case, it obviously cannot help us to construct a top-down theory from the scratch - because the symmetry doesn't really hold if you look accurately enough. Nevertheless, such approximate symmetries are extremely important in model building and in our search for approximate or effective theories. For example, the "strangeness" (essentially the number of strange quarks minus antiquarks) was known to be partially conserved but only in some interactions. This insight was very useful to determine certain properties of the nuclear interactions - and it helped to discover the concept of quarks.

So I would like to summarize the concept of approximate symmetries by saying that the knowledge about them can strengthen our ability to quickly eliminate theories that disagree with certain observations - observations that are approximately compatible with certain symmetries. On the other hand, approximate symmetries are not real "qualitative features" that would lead us to consider qualitatively different types of theories. After all, approximate symmetries are deduced from a complete theory, not in the other way around. Only exact symmetries may be a good starting point to fully determine or guess a new theory.

An important subclass of approximate symmetries are accidental symmetries - such as the baryon number (a charge expressed via a U(1) group transforming the phases of fields, by a rate proportional to their baryon content). Accidental symmetries hold in effective theories because mathematics just happens to allow no interaction terms of a specified type that would violate the symmetry. For example, if you consider the field content of the Standard Model and try to add all renormalizable interactions that preserve the Lorentz symmetry and gauge symmetries, you won't be able to write down any interactions that violate the baryon charge.

That's why B is an accidental symmetry: it must hold at the level of the renormalizable effective theories controlling a pre-determined field content. Needless to say, nonrenormalizable interactions - such as those obtained by integrating out new high-energy stuff beyond the Standard Model - can violate and probably do violate B. Black holes are almost certainly able to evaporate and destroy the baryon charge of the initial star, too. The accidental symmetry therefore only holds at a certain level of approximation. By the way, B-L (the baryon minus lepton number) may also be an accidental symmetry but it may also be an exact gauge symmetry.

Another effect that can spoil the exactness of a symmetry are anomalies. Anomalies are quantum effects - usually represented by 1-loop Feynman diagrams - that imply that the full quantum theory cannot preserve all the symmetries that the classical limiting theory (i.e. the theory reduced to tree level diagrams) does. It is obvious that at the fundamental, quantum level, anomalous symmetries don't exist at all.

On the other hand, gauge symmetries are necessary to get rid of unphysical and/or negative-norm, time-like and/or longitudinal polarizations of spin 1 (or higher) particles. It means that any anomaly that you find in a gauge symmetry (typically a Yang-Mills symmetry or a local Lorentz group) kills your theory. For example, until 1984, it was generally believed that type I superstring theory had to be anomalous, because of some rough arguments. The Green-Schwarz calculation showed a remarkably exact and surprising cancellation of all these anomalies for the SO(32) type I string, restoring the consistency of superstring theory and sparking the first superstring revolution.

On the other hand, anomalies in global symmetries don't make a theory inconsistent but they profoundly modify its dynamics. Again, an anomalous symmetry could have existed at the classical level, i.e. on the classical paper, but as soon as the effects of quantum mechanics matter, the symmetry is simply not there.

Consider a realistic theory with three quark flavors, u,d,s. Each of the fermionic fields is composed of a left-handed and a right-handed 2-component spinor. They (u,d,s) can be rotated independently by U(3)_{left} and U(3)_{right} transformations. One can define diagonal U(3) transformations by making the two U(3)_{left/right} transformations simultaneously. The U(1) part of this U(3) is the accidentally conserved baryon charge discussed above while the SU(3) part is an approximate symmetry between the three flavors.

The remaining "chiral" generators, those that rotate the left-handed and right-handed spinors differently (or even oppositely), are broken. The U(1) is broken differently than the SU(3) part: it is anomalous and it can be ignored. The SU(3) part is just spontaneously broken. It remains an approximate symmetry and the existence of such a broken symmetry implies the existence of pseudo (because the symmetry is approximate!) Nambu-Goldstone bosons, i.e. spin-0 bosons that are much lighter than the QCD scale expectation exactly because the symmetry holds much more accurately than a randomly broken non-symmetry.

To summarize, anomalous symmetries are just illusions of a classical theory but they're not really there in the full quantum theory. Approximate and accidental symmetries are useful approximate concepts used to study effective and phenomenological theories. Anomalous gauge symmetries make a theory inconsistent.

Spontaneously broken symmetries

But my main motivation to write this essay are the spontaneously broken symmetries. These are symmetries that are exactly satisfied by the laws of physics, including all of their quantum and nonperturbative corrections, but they're not directly seen in the low-energy physical phenomena, for reasons that will be explained. Because, as you will see, the asymmetry in the observations is a derivable fact that has nothing to do with the beauty of the laws of physics, it doesn't diminish the beauty of the underlying theory at all.

In other words, a theory with a spontaneously broken symmetry is as constrained and as beautiful, in the refined sense, as a theory with an unbroken symmetry. Let me explain why.

The classical popular example of a broken symmetry is a pencil that you want to place symmetrically on its tip. If you do so, its position will show the rotationally symmetry around the vertical axis - i.e. the democracy between all the directions - very clearly. However, in the real world, something else happens. A tiny fluctuation (even one whose existence is guaranteed by the uncertainty principle) will be enough for the pencil to wobble. It will randomly choose a direction and collapse. Once it does so, the democracy between the directions is broken.

It is broken spontaneously because both the laws of physics as well as the pencil are rotationally symmetric. But the pencil just spontaneously decided to ignore this symmetry because an asymmetric position of the pencil actually lowers the energy. As far as the potential energy goes, it doesn't matter which direction the pencil chooses: again, all the directions have the same energy. But the pencil is damn sure that it should fall down. ;-)

A similar mechanism appears in the electroweak theory, among others. The SU(2) x U(1) symmetry is an exact symmetry of the laws of Nature. However, there exists something like the Higgs field "h(x,y,z,t)" at every point of space and time. And much like the pencil, this Higgs field just doesn't want to sit at the symmetric point "h=0". In fact, the minimum energy is obtained if the length of the complex vector "h" is equal to "v", the ultimate vacuum expectation value. So the Higgs field randomly chooses a direction, much like the pencil, and the original SU(2) x U(1) symmetry is spontaneously broken.

It is important to realize that the symmetry is still there and it is exact. All physical objects or configurations that are related by the symmetry transformation have the same energy. However, this is just the "equality of opportunities" which doesn't imply the "equality of outcomes" in the real world. In fact, the Higgs field surely wants to choose an asymmetric value, instead of "h=0". Other fields' masses (and other properties) depend on whether or not they're aligned in the same "direction" as the Higgs field.

The potential energy that is sufficient to convince the Higgs to pick an asymmetric vacuum expectation value may be as simple as "x^4 / 4 - x^2 / 2", the classical starting point for the renormalizable theory ("x" is the same thing as "h"). This function is even (and, more generally, symmetric with respect to the SU(2) x U(1) rotations). However, its global minimum is not the symmetric point "x=0". Instead, the minima of the function are located at "x=+1" and "x=-1" (or any other vector whose length is one, if you promote "x" to a complex vector).

If the potential energy were "x^4 / 4 + x^2 / 2", the minimum would be at "x=0" only and the symmetry would remain unbroken. So you should ask, is the theory with "x^4 / 4 - x^2 / 2" uglier than the theory with "x^4 / 4 + x^2 / 2"? Obviously, it can't be uglier. It only differs by a minus sign. All the fundamental symmetries are equally large and equally pretty: you surely don't want to discriminate against theories with a minus sign. ;-) However, the minus sign leads to a different physical behavior.

With the minus sign, the Higgs boson wants to choose a nonzero value. This nonzero value will influence all low-energy phenomena. On the other hand, the vacuum expectation value "v" of the Higgs has the dimension of a mass, and at energy scales "m" much higher than this "v", this "v" may be neglected. That's why the symmetry is restored in very high-energy phenomena. This conclusion is quite general: symmetries tend to be restored at high energies, high temperatures, or short distances and broken at low energies, low temperatures, or long distances.

The spontaneously broken symmetries are as accurate as the unbroken ones: they just dynamically lead to a vacuum (analogous to the fallen pencil) that is not a singlet under the symmetry. This necessary choice of the vacuum (and its superselection sector) makes all the objects and phenomena built upon the vacuum look asymmetric, even though the symmetry exactly holds and is as constraining as an unbroken symmetry: it just relates events in a given vacuum with events in a physically equivalent but different vacuum, which is much less "physical" an action than a symmetry that relates objects that can exist in the same vacuum.

As in many other cases, I think that the ultimate reason why people like Tommaso Dorigo can't understand why spontaneously broken symmetries are equally pretty is politics. Dorigo is a hardcore Marxist who makes Friedrich Engels look like Friedrich Hayek in comparison. He just doesn't distinguish the "equality of opportunities" and the "equality of outcomes". If he doesn't see a world where everything is equal and symmetric, it is "ugly" for him.

But that's a very deep misunderstanding. Much like the justice in a decent society only requires the "equality of opportunities" and says nothing about the "equality of outcomes", the beauty of the laws of physics only depends on the symmetry of the underlying equations, not on the symmetries of the actual configurations that solve the physical equations and that will evolve in the real world. It is not a purpose of the laws of physics to produce symmetric objects. In fact, the spontaneous breaking is quite a generic fate of many underlying symmetries and it is often as necessary for the existence of life as income/wealth inequality is critical for a decent GDP growth in any society.

The same comments hold not only for the electroweak symmetry but also for other symmetries that may exist in the real world but that are spontaneously broken, such as grand unified symmetries and supersymmetry. In the latter case, the mathematics needed to describe their spontaneous breaking is more sophisticated than a simple quartic function - and the "minimal" gadget to break the symmetry is not as unique as it is in the case of a single Higgs doublet (also known as the Weinberg toilet). But you should still understand that the situation is qualitatively isomorphic to the case of the electroweak symmetry.

Finally, Tommaso Dorigo has offered us some popular laymen's misconceptions about supersymmetry breaking, namely that it depends on 130 parameters. Well, 130 parameters only count the number of parameters in an effective theory - a theory describing how supersymmetry breaking affects low-energy physics, one that is not trying to understand the fundamental origin of the supersymmetry breaking. But if one actually constructs, knows, or finds a well-defined top-down theory with the right fields that break the supersymmetry and other fields that communicate it to the Standard Model fields, most or all of these 130 parameters become calculable.

So these soft-SUSY-breaking 130 parameters certainly don't make the underlying theory uglier - they just inform us that there are many details about its implementation that are not yet known to us. But this "ignorance" is something completely different than "ugliness". More obviously, as soon as the right supersymmetry breaking scenario is found and/or the parameters are measured, the ignorance disappears. If the ignorance were a real ugliness, it could never disappear.

Counting of vacua

In the most complete and almost certainly correct top-down framework we have, namely string theory, the supersymmetry breaking scenario is fully determined by the choice of the compactification. It's fashionable for the stupid people (who have problems to imagine numbers greater than 4 or so) to say that there are 10^{500} semirealistic vacuum solutions to the equations of string theory - but they completely misunderstand what this fact means and doesn't mean, even after the long years when this topic was explained. Instead, they prefer to swallow the same shit by idiotic crackpots like Lee Smolin and Peter Woit who were popular in 2006, smacking their lips, and praising the food's precious taste.

String theory, like any theory sufficiently complex to account for wide portions of the real world, has many solutions. It is a good, and probably paramount feature because this multiplicity is almost certainly needed to account for the seemingly complex character of low-energy particle physics. Nevertheless, the number of the stabilized solutions is countable, and they're solutions to the same equations, not different "versions" of a theory, as the duality revolution has demonstrated. String theory has no "different versions" and no continuously adjustable dimensionless parameters.

In fact, even if 10^{500} were the set to choose from and the right vacuum would be "random", the choice can be described by 208 bytes or 3 lines of text. The validity of string theory together with 3 lines of text that determine the compactification is enough to predict anything in the world with an arbitrary accuracy. The correct compactification - i.e. the vacuum solution that is directly relevant for the Universe around us - may be a special one or a generic one and the anthropic vs misanthropic camps differ in this question.

However, it's not really important when it comes to the beauty in physics as measured by symmetries and related rational concepts. The number of discrete solutions doesn't change the symmetry of the theory at all. If a theory has more solutions than what you can directly check, it may mean that you are more ignorant - and face a harder job - than what you used to think. But it surely cannot mean that the theory is less beautiful or likely to be true, in the very technical and rationally justifiable sense that I tried to sketch.

And that's the memo.

Monday, June 22, 2009 ... Français/Deutsch/Español/Česky/Japanese/Related posts from blogosphere

Tories, ODS, PiS, 5 individuals form a new group of MEPs

The European People's Party, the largest group in the European Parliament, has arguably become way too politically correct.

Despite their official center-right ideological affiliation, the well-known politicians connected with the EPP - such as Angela Merkel and Nicolas Sarkozy - and many of their less famous colleagues turned out to be essentially indistinguishable from the self-described European socialists when it comes to topics such as euronaivism, global warming, multiculturalism, and many other important issues.

Now, the British Conservative Party and the Czech Civic Democratic Party i.e. ODS after the split with its founder, President Klaus, have also shared a lot of postmodern opinions with the EPP, a group that they have belonged to so far.

However, one can at least see clear signs of hope inside these parties. For example, despite the personal tension between ODS boss Mirek Topolánek and President Klaus, it must be clear to every impartial observer that in his honest opinion, Topolánek believes neither the benefits of the Treaty of Lisbon nor the hypothetical threats of climate change - so his opinions are not really that different from Klaus's.

A new group emerges

Today, the Tories (26 seats), Polish Law and Justice or PiS (15 seats), ODS (9 seats), and five more MEPs from five countries have established a new club (55 seats), the European Conservatives and Reformist Group. It is defined by center-right values and their common opposition to European federalism. Let's hope that the newly achieved isolation from the crypto-socialists in the would-be center-right parties will help them to converge towards some natural, more sensible, and more honest approaches to many political and ideological questions of the current era.

The Czech and British parties are the strongest groups from their nations. ODS really defines the political mainstream in the post-Velvet-Revolution Czech Republic. Previously, ODS wanted certain natural allies on their right side, such as Italy's Northern League or Danish People's Party, to join the club. Cameron cares about his image in the PC media so he has vetoed the idea.

Well, the real problem may not be David Cameron: it may be the huge left-wing bias of the contemporary Western media - a bias that he is only rationally accommodating to. We don't experience such a scary thing in the Czech media. For example, the PiS has banned obscene live moving homosexual exhibitions on Polish streets. Cameron doesn't even agree with this ban but he is being chastised by the extremist media just for his teaming up with the "homophobes". Wow, what a sin. Despite a highly tolerant attitude to the sexual deviations by the liberal and mostly atheist Czech people, no one in the Czech media dares to criticize the conservative decision of the Polish Christians.

Other MEPs in the EPP suddenly have a chance to upgrade to the new group, too.

Russia plans to raise CO2 production by 30% before 2020

Dmitry Medvedev proposed his greenhouse plans for the following decade:

Russia offers climate goal with no real bite
He wants to increase the production of greenhouse gases, primarily CO2, by 30 percent by the year 2020. That would still be 10-15 percent below the 1990 levels. The drop in the early 1990s was sudden but Russia has returned to a sustainable growth curve.

Medvedev vowed not to reduce "Russia's development potential": he doesn't plan to jump on the bandwagon of idiotically suicidal politicians who have contaminated the political institutions across the world. I must say that on the other hand, his plan is pretty bullish because it assumes a 2.5 percent annual growth rate which is probably translated to a 3.5 percent GDP growth rate, given the tight link between the two figures and the natural technological ability of the economies to increase their fuel efficiency by a percentage point every year. Many other nations are surely planning a much smaller GDP growth in the years to come.

I am confident that most Russians still view the coal and other sources of CO2 as a key measure of their economic might - a quantity that has deteriorated in the last 20 years, relatively to the whole world. So they're much more eager to raise their CO2 output - at the time when many others are talking about insane plans to reduce CO2 output by 50 or 80 percent.

For example, India and other poor countries propose to use the Copenhagen conference in December 2009 to destroy 40 percent of the developed economies, as measured by their CO2 output, by 2020 relatively to 1990.

Sunday, June 21, 2009 ... Français/Deutsch/Español/Česky/Japanese/Related posts from blogosphere

Strings 2009: Rome

The new random background was chosen because Summer has begun.


The Colosseum equipped with a crosscap, making up a Möbius strip one-loop stringy world sheet diagram. The windows apparently indicate an open-closed holographic duality.

The conference takes place from Monday through Friday:
Timetable, titles of talks
At this point, I am not sure whether I will follow every sentence like I did in the case of Strings 2008. In fact, it's not clear whether there will be any live broadcast at all.



DJ Yvan: Adagio for Strings 2009

See also a text about Strings 2009 after the conference ended on Saturday.

Saturday, June 20, 2009 ... Français/Deutsch/Español/Česky/Japanese/Related posts from blogosphere

Timeless physics 2009

We have discussed timeless physics in 2006 but because people like Sean Carroll recently wrote about the topic, let me add a few general words.

Needless to say, I mostly disagree with people like Carroll. There are many topics in which other people are saying demonstrably wrong things about topics that have been well-established. In those cases, the disagreement can be sharp. In the case of timeless physics, which is really just a vague guiding principle or a research project with an uncertain future, the disagreement cannot be equally sharp.

However, I think that by their disrespect for the research of the emergent character of time and its ultimate fundamental "non-existence", people like Smolin, Hossenfelder, CommunistPig, or even Carroll only help to emphasize their (otherwise well-known) lack of creativity, intuition, and ability to see depth in theoretical physics.

A very brief history of time

In the distant past, our ancestors - much like other animals - could only think about their immediate survival. Eventually, they became able to organize events in time and plan for the future. Early astronomers have learned about many quasiperiodic processes in the skies which led them to the idea of time as something that can be measured by similar cycles.

Galileo Galilei was the first man who studied the dependence of terrestrial processes on time: he really introduced time to testable physics (only statics was studied accurately by the ancient Greeks). His empirically verified "s=gt^2/2" law for the accelerated motion in the gravitational field was not only the first law in which properties of terrestrial objects were written as a function of time: it was also the first law that was chosen from a set of alternatives by his newly engineered scientific method.

Isaac Newton added a lot of testosterone to Galileo's methodology. He co-invented the calculus and redefined the whole world as a collection of classical degrees of freedom, such as x(t) and v(t), that depended on time. Time was absolute and universal.

That remained true in field theory, e.g. in hydrodynamics, but space was gradually becoming a counterpart of time. Fields became the natural degrees of freedom: they depended on time and space, as in phi(x,y,z,t). This process culminated by relativity. In special relativity, "t" was no longer universal for all observers. It got linearly mixed up with "x,y,z" depending on the observer's velocity.

For the first time, special relativity also allowed us to think that eternalism is more natural than presentism. The whole spacetime is much more absolute and objectively existent than its sections at constant times (also known as the "space" at some moment). The sections of spacetime at a constant "t" were thought to be absolute before 1905 but Einstein has changed that completely.

Special relativity has also preserved and strengthened causality: not only events can be affected by the past events only; they can only be affected by events in a smaller region of the spacetime than the whole "past half-spacetime", namely by the past light cone of the event that is an effect of others.

In general relativity, all coordinate transformations became equally legitimate for the formulation of laws of physics. In special relativity, there used to be one good choice of "t" for every reference frame determined by a velocity "v". In general relativity, the choice of time became completely non-canonical, because of a new gauge symmetry (general covariance) that became a part of the basic principles of physics. The laws of causality remained valid but they suddenly needed a variable metric tensor to be calculated.

String theory: getting to the present

As the research mostly in string theory has demonstrated, the rigid rules of causality are circumvented by "tunneling phenomena" such as the Hawking radiation in the presence of evaporating black holes. This is quite obviously the case and it is needed for the information to be preserved - and we know it is preserved from other descriptions of the same phenomena.

String theory has shown that space is emergent. Manifolds can be constructed out of non-geometric building blocks, Gepner models, or matrices. And even infinitely large dimensions may arise via holography. Topology can change, the space and its dimensionalities are generated from more fundamental concepts. And velocities or momenta in space can also be rephrased as other aspects of physics such as charges (Kaluza-Klein theory) or winding numbers (T-duality and U-duality).

These insights are indisputable as of 2009 and every fundamental physicist who is up to her job knows them very well. On the other hand, the local Lorentz invariance - the basic principle of special relativity - still holds. It says that what is true about space should hold for time, too.

It follows that time must be emergent, too. At the fundamental level, time must be as doomed as space is. However, there are technical reasons that prevent us from writing "timeless physics" explicitly, even though similar things happen with "spaceless physics" in many cases and formalisms. All well-defined descriptions of string theory that we know today are really some kinds of field theory and each of them has at least one temporal dimension (even though all the spatial dimensions may disappear).

In the Galilean tradition, we used to think that objects could literally be thought of as functions of time. Quantum mechanics - especially if formulated using Feynman's paradigms - has taught us that all the histories that happen "in the middle of a process", before they're observed, must really be summed over. It makes no sense to imagine a particular "real state of affairs" before quantities are measured. Quantum mechanics implies that such a "real state" cannot exist.

Incidentally, this fact has also affected the presentism vs eternalism debate, in this case in presentism's favor. One can never imagine that the present is determined by the past light cone, like it was attempted in the "hidden variable theories".

Mostly notably, the free will theorem shows that the random decisions of Nature about the outcomes of experiments - decisions that quantum mechanics can only predict probabilistically - cannot be determined by a calculation that depends on the past light cone only. The "random element" is indeed added at the "present" moment - you may imagine that all the microscopic objects have a "free will" and they are only required to agree with the statistical predictions of quantum mechanics.

The fact that the intermediate histories must be summed over is most dramatically manifested in quantum gravity. The local Green's functions are no longer calculable, at least not if we want to preserve the Lorentz covariance. Instead, only the scattering (S-matrix) amplitudes can be computed. They are produced for each pair of the initial state and the final state.

It is highly plausible that some generalized versions of this formalism, e.g. one without the variable initial state and with the final state only (like in the Hartle-Hawking calculations) will have to be cracked before we really understand the secrets about the beginning of time. Many other mysterious questions - such as Poincaré recurrences in the quantum de Sitter space or the origin of the signature of our spacetime, assuming that a deeper explanation exists, are likely to be related to the previous enigma.

Depth, getting rid of assumptions, and many angles in physics

As physics was getting more advanced, time was getting gradually more flexible. Using their own words, people like Sean Carroll "don't get it": they don't understand what's so great about timelessness of a hypothetical future form of the laws of physics. So let me try to tell them (and others).

Time is one of the most fundamental assumptions that scientists were forced to accept before they could do any science. It looked as one of the most unbreakable bones in a skeleton that was destined to restrict our freedom to create new theories (and to live!) eternally. Every physicist - except for a hardcore communist who has no problem to be constrained and to blindly believe propositions that were pre-determined - must be irritated by the existence of every concept whose fundamental origin is not understood.

As we have discussed above, the developments in physics have shown that the direction of the bones in the skeleton of time are not universal: they depend on the reference frame. They're not hard bones, either. Instead, they are flexible and the presence of matter can distort them. In the context of black holes, quantum gravity shows that even causality of the skeleton itself can be broken by "tunneling" phenomena such as the Hawking radiation.

It has been demonstrated that space is doomed. The most accurate and fundamental theory of physics, including quantum gravity, is simply not a local field theory where objects (fields) are functions of space. Instead, a collection of local fields is just one description that may be approximately OK for long-distance physics but it is almost certainly inappropriate near the fundamental Planck scale.

Much like biologists have learned to look inside the bones and they can do all kinds of surgeries today, physicists must obviously continue to study the character of space and time, two of the most universal concepts in science and life. Only when they figure out where these bones come from, why they look as bones, and what is the genuine wisdom hiding beneath them, they have a chance to claim the final victory.

Diversity of viewpoints

I must say one more thing. Sean Carroll talks about different perspectives where the concept of time is more real or less real. And he makes it very clear that he doesn't give a damn whether one has these different viewpoints.

Such comments are just stunning for me. The existence of different ways how to look at the same physics that profoundly and qualitatively differ (e.g. by the existence of some coordinates of spacetime) is one of the most critical criteria that measure a true conceptual progress in physics. That's why the AdS/CFT correspondence is so deep.

Such dualities and alternative descriptions tell us that concepts, phenomena, and mathematical descriptions that used to be thought of as completely different are actually equivalent. I can't imagine how a good theoretical physicist could not care - and I am actually convinced that there is no good theoretical physicist in the world who doesn't care.

The number of independent assumptions and concepts in physics is being reduced by such dualities and previously unrelated answers are being correlated; these transformations of our knowledge are paramount and define the true revolutions in fundamental physics. You know, a person who hates to think mathematically may think that every duality makes physics more difficult: there's more stuff to learn and the person just doesn't like it.

But a true theoretical physics enthusiast loves such insights. These dualities are indeed new things to learn, which is great, but they're not new arbitrary assumptions that would make the foundations of physics less certain and more shaky - because their validity may be mathematically demonstrated. So the appearance of radically new dualities is always a win-win situation for the scientific progress.

In the approach to dualities, yuou can see a radical difference in the understanding of "simplicity" by deep theoretical physicists on one side - and by Lee Smolin and his unpleasant Yes-Women on the other side. The latter just hate maths, are always ready to deny maths, and consider anything with maths in it "contrived".

To summarize, this topic is not about some Einsteinian preconception that has been disproved or superseded. Nothing wrong has been seen with the power of symmetries and dualities and the power of multiple perspectives on the same physics. Quite on the contrary. These "Einsteinian values" have been given many more examples and they became more dominant in good physics than they have ever been.

Sean Carroll asks why would anyone talk about a "non-existent time" rather than a "non-fundamental time". Time apparently exists, much like protons, even though the latter are not elementary particles. Fair enough. Indeed, it will always have to be possible to derive the existence of time, at least as an approximation.

But it is very likely that at the fundamental (Planck) scale, such an approximation becomes completely inappropriate. At the fundamental (Planck) scale that is relevant e.g. for the birth of the Universe, we are likely to learn that time doesn't exist, as long as we interpret this question in the most natural way from the Planckian viewpoint. There's a lot of contexts and long-distance regimes where time will always exist. But the more one cares about the fundamental physics, the more he cares about the exact manifestations of concepts at the fundamental scale. At this scale, time may be literally shown not to exist.

This is partly a linguistically philosophical game because in science, we would have to operationally define what we mean by the proposition that "time doesn't exist". But there exists a different analogy, replacing the metaphor involving the proton. In 1905, we could ask whether the speed was limited. Sean Carroll could argue that the speed was apparently unbounded from above: the only thing we should be saying is that the unboundedness of the speed may fail to be fundamental.

But as you know, special relativity implies that at the fundamental level, the speed is really bounded from above, and it is the unboundedness that is just an approximation (of non-relativistic physics) while the boundedness is a fact, and a fundamental one.

You know, no sensible person is trying to argue that time is not a useful concept for most imaginable purposes. In fact, your humble correspondent has emphasized - e.g. in texts about background independence - that a good theory must always be able to show its compatibility with time as it was known from previous, approximate theories. The question is whether at a fundamental level, time exists - whether anything can be imagined to be a function of a time-like coordinate. And that's a different question than one about the existence of the proton.

After all, if the proton is stable, it corresponds to very real, accurate, and mundane 1-particle states in the exact Hilbert space of QCD - which are much more real than the isolated 1-quark states (that can't exist). But if time doesn't exist, it means that in the exact description, one cannot talk about any observables being a function of time. Such a description of observables would always be just an artifact of approximate, effective theories.

So it is damn important to follow what's happening with time in our most up-to-date theories of physics because the fate of space and time have always been the most important stories spread all over the history of physics.

And that's the memo.

Friday, June 19, 2009 ... Français/Deutsch/Español/Česky/Japanese/Related posts from blogosphere

Distance matters: Facebook contacts have a scale-invariant spectrum

The physics arXiv blog has brought our attention to a paper that seems pretty interesting to me:

Goldenberg, Levy: Distance Is Not Dead: Social Interaction and Geographical Distance in the Internet Era
We often like to say that the Internet has made our blue planet smaller by simplifying the geographically distant relationships. We live in a global village, and so on.

However, what is often neglected in these popular clichés is that the Internet has also simplified the local relationships. And in fact, the computers have also simplified our ability to distinguish the nearby contacts from the distant ones. We have good reasons to prefer the local ones in many contexts because they can be coupled to physical interactions and the same interests in local events.

As a result, our focus actually became relatively more local and less global, since the first moments when the communication over arbitrary distances became acceptably doable and cheap.



The figure above summarizes the best power law fit for the number of Facebook contacts, written as a distribution "f(r)dr" with respect to the distance "r" in miles. You can see that the distribution goes essentially as "1/r": their exponent is "-1.03" which is very close to minus one.

This is an interesting exponent because "dr/r" is the same thing as "d ln(r)". It means that the number of contacts is the same for every "decade".

One has N contacts between 1 and 10 miles, N contacts between 10 and 100 miles, N contacts between 100 and 1,000 miles, and perhaps N contacts between 1,000 and 10,000 miles. In this sense, the map of the contacts is statistically self-similar, at least if you neglect far infrared effects such as the finiteness of the Earth that fails to be flat. ;-)

We are thinking hierarchically and we tend to be equally interested in every level of the hierarchy that we belong to. If you wish, a part of my interest goes to Pilsen, an equally large part to the rest of Western Bohemia, another part to the rest of Bohemia, another part to Central Europe, another part to Europe, and so on.

(No, I haven't yet created a Facebook account. With Twitter, I would like be a canonical example of their reactionary "traitor" users, for reasons that look very sensible to me.)

Tuesday, June 16, 2009 ... Français/Deutsch/Español/Česky/Japanese/Related posts from blogosphere

Climate in Bratislava

javascript:void(0)

Disclaimer: the commercial is not recommended to minors. Between 2:55 and 3:04, the woman says "once more, but it's the last time". ;-)

I am getting ready for a trip to Bratislava, the capital of Slovakia, where our fellow TRF reader Alexander Ač moderates a debate about climate change tomorrow at 5 pm local time,

Climate change: a threat for the 21st century or propaganda?
featuring your humble correspondent and Prof Milan Lapin, a distinguished Slovak climate expert who is so far on the wrong side of aisle. ;-) Infonet.tv is likely to broadcast it but as you can guess, I prefer if no one watches it.



While I also love CO2, the figure "2" would be written as a subscript and not a superscript if the author were a skeptic and not an alarmist. ;-)

Alexander allowed me to embed his nicely summarized 25-page presentation (written in Slovak) with the topics to be discussed, divided to 4 categories (causes; symptoms and impacts; forecasts; solutions): full screen. By the way, the influence of skeptical resources on him seems somewhat visible, doesn't it? ;-)

I don't plan to be too combative but if I were, there's a good example to follow. Pilsen is hosting the 2009 hockeyball world championship. Czechia has not lost a match so far (not even the 3:0 duel against the U.S. and an epic battle, 3:2, against a strong India) and added a victory over our Slovak brothers, 2:0, today in the afternoon, despite Slovakia's ability to beat the majestic empire of Greece, by the modest 20:0 score. ;-) I love sports where results and differences are counted by orders of magnitude.

Meanwhile, Antarctica still refuses to join the global warming bandwagon, a six-year measurement of the ice-shelves showed. They will keep watching and watching and on one sunny day in the future, they will be able to show global warming on that continent by a careful study, achieving the same thing that most climatologists do by tricks.

Cosmoclimatology under attack

Dmitry has pointed out a new paper that claims to refute all of cosmoclimatology (see the sunspot-climate correlations). The main ingredient of their work is a new picture of the structure of spiral arms in the Milky Way. The authors interpret some data as saying that the Milky Way has no arms, no spirals, and no structure, so there can't be any quasiperiodic phenomena in it. I wonder whether our Galaxy at least still looks as milk.



This caricature of theirs "proves" that our Galaxy is a complete mess. You may compare it with this picture of NASA's GLIMPSE team (credit: R. Hurt)



and decide which of them is more convincing. The present authors use some model-dependent reconstructions of carbon monoxide in the galaxy (sorry, no citations of this paper) with the same Martin Pohl on the author list. All these guys are literally obsessed with carbon oxides. Even if the models were right and their CO distribution were OK, the dominant factor for the rays - probably Hydrogen - may still follow a different distribution.

Why would one use such a less accurate, less relevant, less directly observed gas and - after seeing no structure in the noisy data - made big statements about the refutation of those 140-million-year periodicities that seem to be confirmed by 4 independent types of data and that only admit a galactic explanation so far?

I also have problems with their pattern speed - their claimed periods are 500 million years or so. According to sources that can be traced, like those in this table, the spiral pattern speed period is 50 million years while the Sun's galactic rotation period is 220 million year (in negative direction: the existence of the minus sign is another hurdle they have yet to master). These are periods, so for a higher number of peaks along the period, the reduced periodicities will be even smaller.

Where did they get their nearly-billion-year periods?

Monday, June 15, 2009 ... Français/Deutsch/Español/Česky/Japanese/Related posts from blogosphere

John Baez, M-theory, and spinors

John Baez is fascinated by the existence of four number systems, namely R,C,H,O, whose dimensions are 1,2,4,8. He's thinking about this mysterious stuff even when he tries to

learn M-theory (at the Distler-owned Category Café).
Let me admit that it looks like he is being distracted by marginal and irrelevant stuff all the time. When Richard Feynman was trying to teach the electromagnetic induction to his artist friend (who has successfully taught Feynman how to make paintings), the friend screamed "it's just like f*cking" when a piece of metal was attracted inside the solenoid.

In a similar way, it seems that John Baez pays too much attention to marginal topics and wild speculations, including those that are not really the bulk of Mike Duff's review (even though Duff's review of SUGRA surely has more mysterious stuff in it than others). The classification to R,C,H,O is nice but one shouldn't forget that these four algebras have different basic properties.

Only the first one, R, is the "minimal building block" of the other algebras. Only the second one, C, allows us to solve every algebraic equation and find the right number of the solutions. The last two, H and O, are not commutative, and the very last one, O, is not even associative. That makes a difference. The classification to R,C,H,O shouldn't be thought of as being analogous to the ADE classification of the simply laced Lie groups. In the ADE case, we genuinely classify objects of the same kind. In the RCHO case, we gradually "complexify" the type of the things we're "classifying".



Off-topic: Czech EU presidency has some issues with the Iranian presidential elections.

The idea that many complex mathematical objects, such as p-branes, should be classified according to a simple R,C,H,O classification looks utterly childish to me. The octonions are the most complicated and discernible among the four division algebras and it is questionable whether they really appear in the places of physics where they're often claimed to be relevant.

When we talk about the octonions as a special division algebra, it's only special if we accept its multiplication rules. Without those rules, the 8-dimensional space is not too different from other 8-dimensional spaces. But with the rules, one immediately sees a G_2 automorphism group. Whenever one "genuinely" encounters the octonions, the correct symmetry - the automorphism group - must play a role, too. The opinion that E_8 is all about the octonions because of some "octo-octonionic planes" look both vague and morally wrong to me.

Let me ask: why doesn't John Baez actually try to learn what Duff is writing, instead of being constantly attracted to some possibly linked "big discoveries" that almost manifestly don't exist?

Spinors in different dimensions, classical superstring and SYM theories

There are many issues that Baez tries to present as very, almost religiously mysterious but that look completely mundane to me. One of them are possible representations of spinors in various dimensions.

Imagine that you want to create a minimal supersymmetric gauge theory. A massless gauge field in D dimensions has D-2 transverse, physical polarizations. A supersymmetric theory will add a spinor to it. It should have the same number of components. The dimensions of a spinorial representation depends on the spacetime dimension as well as the "reality/chirality" types of the representation.

In D-dimensional Minkowski spaces, the number of real components of the minimal spinor is proportional to 2^{D/2}, with additional factors of "2" if the representation is complex and "1/2" if it is chiral etc. If you want the number of bosonic degrees of freedom (D-2) of the gauge field to be matched by the spinorial components of the gauginos, the choices are:
  • odd dimension, non-chiral spinors: D=3
  • even dimension, complex spinors: D=4
  • even dimension, pseudoreal spinors: D=6
  • even dimension, real spinor: D=10
Note that in 3,4,6,10 dimensions, the gauge field has 1,2,4,8 polarizations. It can be matched to a power of two from the spinorial dimensions, with four solutions depending on your choice of the reality/chirality conditions. It's not mysterious at all.

For these dimensions, Green-Schwarz-like superstring theory (with vectorial bosonic and spinorial fermionic worldsheet fields) may exist classically - recall that an open superstring reduces to a supersymmetrized gauge field at low energies. However, quantum mechanically, the conformal anomaly must cancel and it cancels in D=10 only.

The appearance of four possibilities is less mysterious here than the reason why the list {R,C,H,O} has four entries: the four options simply represent the possible spinor types in D dimensions, including the odd-D case (and by the way, no spinor representations are really "octonionic").

Gravity and 11 dimensions

The theory in 11 dimensions, M-theory, is different than the four choices classified above because its massless field content is not that of a gauge field but instead, it is a supergravity multiplet. If you require as many as 32 real supercharges, gravitons preserve 16 of them. They can be combined into 8 complexified raising/lowering operators, each of which is able to change the polarization of the spin by 1/2. Eight of them are able to climb by 8 times 1/2 which is by 4 - so the spin must be allowed to go from -2 to +2. Gravitons are the particles that have spin 2.

With so many supercharges, you therefore inevitably end up with a supergraviton multiplet. It has 128 bosonic and 128 fermionic components. The fermionic components coincide with a spin 3/2 gravitino in 11 dimensions while the 128 bosonic components can be split to (9 x 10 / 2 x 1 - 1) = 44 components of the graviton and (9 x 8 x 7 / 3 x 2 x 1) = 84 components of the three-form, an antisymmetric rank-three tensor that generalizes the electromagnetic field.

This decomposition can be derived by rather basic group theory. The field content of a supergraviton multiplet in 11 dimensions has no direct link to the octonions. Because John Baez is obsessed with the wrong idea that the biggest object in any classification of interesting mathematical structures must be linked to the octonions, he can't understand the proper derivation of the field content in 11 dimensions. And that's too bad.

In his new text, John Baez is also irritated by the fact that the 11-dimensional spinors have 32 components. Well, they really do. Any formulation of anything that obscures the 32 components of the spinors in 11 dimensions must inevitably obscure the Lorentz symmetry, too. The reduced number of fermionic components is a result of several physical steps. There may exist a description with 16 components that teaches us an important lesson but it's certainly not guaranteed that there is one.

I think it is simply a misconception to insist that the degrees of freedom should be eliminated from the scratch. Quite on the contrary, many important insights in physics - and mathematical physics! - only materialize when a sufficient amount of work is done. And there's nothing wrong with it. In some sense, we might say that the longer the path from the assumptions to the conclusions, the deeper a result in theoretical physics we deal with.

Another reason why John Baez only wants to work with 16 components of the spinor is that in his optics, such a modified 11-dimensional spacetime looks just like the exceptional Jordan algebra of 3x3 Hermitean octonionic matrices, the algebra whose automorphism group is an E_6. I have no idea why he thinks that this is the right mathematical structure for this case. There's no canonical E_6 symmetry in the infinite flat-space 11-dimensional M-theory, so there can't be any exceptional Jordan algebra, either. For me personally, this simple (failed) consistency checks of the group theory kills the idea and reclassifies it as pure numerology.

You know, your humble correspondent is also attracted by many things linked to the exceptional groups and their importance for the dualities, supergravity, and physics in general. However, when I look at at John Baez's reasoning, I can't fail to see that what he is trying to do is pseudoscience simply because he never eliminates hypotheses that don't work. In his methodology, the appearance of the adjective "exceptional" in any sentence (or an ad hoc link involving physics and exceptional groups) beats any rational argument.

I don't believe that physics in 11 dimensions can be described by a proper research of the octonions. The hypothesis rejected in previous sentence is kind of vague and it is hard to operationally define the criterion deciding whether it's correct or not. Nevertheless, I think that despite its vagueness, it's just morally wrong. The group theory doesn't work.

Many of these vague speculations about the character of various theories - speculations based on superficial similarities with the division algebras etc. - have been explicitly ruled out. These hypotheses were based on "prophesies" of the people who believed that they could immediately see the truth, without serious detailed calculations and arguments - except that they couldn't.

Most of the remaining hypotheses of this kind have led to no interesting results. The breakthroughs in theoretical physics were simply based on different ideas. There exists one more way to describe what I find wrong with the very framework of John Baez's reasoning about mathematical physics and the value of different ideas. He really dislikes insights and arguments that are based on physics: only arguments based on elementary parts of mathematics or geometry, those that people knew many decades ago, are "desirable" or "recommended" by him.

This whole structure of reasoning is profoundly counterproductive and "untrue" in some very deep sense. The most important insights about mathematics, physics, and their relationships are those that try to use some structures that were only known on one side - e.g. physical mechanisms - to learn something new on the other side - i.e. in mathematics. And it's always important to learn new things, instead of blindly believing that e.g. the four division algebras one learned when he was 12 must include all important facts about the natural science.

They certainly don't. And that's the memo.

Positive role of exceptional groups in SUGRA

As a bonus, let me add a few comments about the actual exceptional groups that appear in M-theory or supergravity. Supergravity theories with 32 supercharges have exceptional noncompact symmetry groups - such as E_{7(7)} for M-theory on a seven-torus. Their discrete groups are the U-duality groups respected by string/M-theory, after one appreciates the (moduli-dependent) quantization rules for the charges etc. A better understanding of the origin of these groups is clearly desirable.

Also, the brane charges in M-theory may be classified with the help of another copy of an E_8 group, as argued by Diaconescu, Moore, Witten. Their argumentation has been extremely solid and modest: in this sense, these Gentlemen are the antipodal points of John Baez. They only viewed the E_8 construction as a mathematical tool to study one mathematical problem: it is the appropriate tool because of the "mostly vanishing" homotopy groups of the E_8 group manifold. No speculation that had not been established was included. They didn't argue that this E_8 gauge field in the bulk had to be important for all of physics, although it is a possibility that an emotional physicist must immediately think about.

But this ambitious generalization may be a wrong idea. Maybe, there's just nothing else we can learn about physics in 11 dimensions by thinking about the E_8 gauge field in the bulk.

Finally, I am amazed by the mysterious duality and still spend some time with it. My idea is that an underlying "worldsheet for worldsheet" theory with a del Pezzo target space may be used to generate its scattering amplitudes.

In this picture, all the power laws for the tensions/masses of all supersymmetric p-dimensional objects in toroidal compactifications of M-theory are encoded in cohomologies of del Pezzo surfaces - whose E_k structure of the intersection numbers "mimicks" the U-duality group of M-theory on tori. Again, the question whether all physics of M-theory can be rephrased in some del Pezzo-friendly way, or whether the observations by Iqbal, Neitzke, and Vafa are pretty much the only thing where this "dictionary" may show its muscles (and this partial success could have been guaranteed by the E_k structure of the del Pezzo surfaces), remains to be seen.

At the same moment, I must say that I have already worked with lots of more specific tantalizing ideas of this kind that I consider "essentially ruled out" today.

Once upon a time, a poor university wanted to create a new cheap department. They wanted to establish a theoretical physics department because theoretical physicists only needed pens and paper. However, they ultimately founded a philosophy departments because theoretical physicists often need a trash bin, too. Sadly, I am not sure whether people such as John need it, too.

Moreover, there is an atmosphere discouraging scientists from providing negative evidence against these seemingly "ambitious" projects. Whenever a rational perspective is adopted, the rational people are seen as hurting the belief of these big believers and potential prophets. In principle, there can exist prophets who "guess" the right answers to all important questions at the very beginning.

The only thing I am sure about is that neither Lee Smolin nor Garrett Lisi (or John Baez, who is closer to the goal) can make it to the list of these supernatural beings.

And the very main selective mechanism of science is to avoid wrong ideas and focus on the promising ones, as judged by rational arguments. Whether an idea looks "religiously mysterious" or not just doesn't matter in science. Some people think that it does and they're often very hypocritical about the criteria, denouncing one idea (usually string theory) because it looks too "religious" to them while uncritically promoting another, even more mysterious theory for the very same reason.

That's very bad.

Bert Schroer on the worldsheet "metaphor"

A reader has pointed out an entertaining article on the arXiv. It was written by Bert Schroer and its name is

Remarks on the world-sheet saga.
As Jacques Distler has independently figured out on Clifford Johnson's blog, Schroer's general "reasoning" goes as follows:
  1. Only 0-dimensional particles are acceptable building blocks in physics. So string theory must be a theory of point-like particle fields with infinitely many components, too.
  2. It follows that one can never include winding modes even if the target space is not simply connected.
  3. It follows that there is no T-duality. In fact, nothing that string theorists ever talk about exists, and everything is just a metaphor. String theory must be replaced by the Schroer caricature of string theory. The latter contains no strings and is as meaningless as any paper that Mr Schroer has ever printed. In Schroer's logic, it follows that string theory sucks.
Up to some moment, it is funny to see such extremely tiny, frail, modest, and perhaps somewhat excessively old brains that are nevertheless still able to hold such a huge chunk of self-confidence, surpassing its expected size by a few orders of magnitude, even though they are clearly not large enough to incorporate elementary concepts such as the winding strings, worldsheets, T-duality, on-shell amplitudes, or path integral.

For Schroer, all these notions and many others are the "ultimate sins of theoretical physics". On the other hand, for every other physicist who actually knows what has happened in the last 50 years, they're just "theoretical physics" - in fact, pretty much all of it. Schroer also thinks that his paper is a contribution to Strings 2009 (see the subtitle). I guess that the organizers of Strings 2009 should hire a psychiatrist for the scenario that Mr Schroer visits Rome next week and appears at the proceedings. They may be needed to deal with this - whatever is the politically correct name for a psychopath.

Is there at least one true proposition in Bert Schroer's rant?

Reality

Well, in reality, perturbative string theory is completely well-established and the results such as T-duality are proved theorems that are as rigorous as any good results in theoretical physics have ever been. Are strings just a metaphoric description of many point-like particle species?

Yes and no. A string can behave as one of an infinite family of possible vibration modes or particle species. This is the viewpoint that e.g. string field theory tries to take as seriously as you can get. In string field theory, physics is described by a "string field" which may be thought of as a collection of infinitely many point-like fields. However, there are some limitations of this picture:
  1. In string theory, the properties of this whole infinite tower of states is constrained or derived from the same string - one governed by the worldsheet physics. The idea of a "generic" collection of point-like particle fields would have no explanation for this infinite collection of constraints. The interactions of all these fields are determined by the same worldsheet physics, too. That's the first sense in which the worldsheet is very real.
  2. String theory has its own rules to derive the particle content in more complicated situations, e.g. with curved extra dimensions. The whole spectrum of masses has to be recalculated for each background.
  3. If the spacetime is not simply connected, winding strings are added and have to be added - for reasons that can be proved in many seemingly inequivalent ways: winding modes must be a part of the story. T-duality is one of their key consequences.
  4. The actual physics of string theory leads to somewhat modified rules how to compute loop diagrams. They slightly differ from the rules that one would expect in the case of infinitely many point-like particles. This difference is important for the short-distance finiteness of string theory.
Let me say a few more words about these points.

A constrained tower of states

Fermi's four-fermion theory of beta decay is non-renormalizable. We know that it is just the low-energy approximation of a more accurate and well-behaved theory, a spontaneously broken gauge theory, where the force is mediated by the exchange of vector bosons.

Similarly, the short-distance problems of quantized general relativity have to be cured by a similar package of new physics. In this case, one needs an infinite number of new particle species to contribute to the graviton scattering.

However, an infinite collection of new arbitrary fields would depend on an infinite collection of parameters such as masses and couplings. That would be as bad as a non-renormalizable theory because an infinite number of unknown parameters could never be fully determined. However, string theory does something different: it determines the masses and interactions of all these new massive states that are needed to regulate the divergences of gravity.

So in some sense, you may always parameterize string field operators as many field operators that create point-like particles. However, if you want to know anything about their masses, interactions, and other physical properties, you need to appreciate that they arise from a quantized string or a quantized worldsheet.

The more general visualization of string fields as a collection of many point-like particle fields would be unable to see all the constraints that follow from the worldsheet equations. For example, the worldsheet is Lorentz-invariant. Locally, a piece of worldsheet doesn't allow you to choose a preferred time direction: its spatial and temporal coordinates have properties that are related by the symmetry.

While it's always possible to decompose a periodic function into the Fourier modes or a string field into the infinitely many component fields, such a procedure obscures virtually all key physical properties of the stringy objects - their actual inner architecture.

Background-dependence of the spectrum

Another point I mentioned is that the spectrum of the point-like particle fields depends on the background. In the realm of "cracked" or "broken would-be popular physics", the background dependence is often presented as a bad thing. But physical consistency requires many things to depend on the background. And the dependence on the background is necessary for making predictions, too.

In the case of curved extra dimensions of a Calabi-Yau shape, you may ask how many generations of quarks and leptons a heterotic string compactification has. The answer is that the number depends on topological invariants of the Calabi-Yau manifold, such as its Euler character (or the Hodge numbers).

If you only cared about the massless fields, you could determine their spectrum in the large dimensions by applying Kaluza-Klein methodology to the higher-dimensional massless fields. But more generally, the massive spectrum of string theory on a curved manifold is affected by its shape. You shouldn't imagine that you are putting a predefined theory of fixed point-like particles (and fixed fields) on the same manifold.

Winding modes

The most obvious example showing that such an idea would not be quite right are the winding modes. If the target space has non-contractible loops in it, strings can be wound around it "w" times. This is not just an arbitrary possibility that someone has added to make string theory richer (or more confusing). Quite on the contrary, all methods to calculate anything in string theory unambiguously imply that winding strings exist, have to exist, and their properties are completely determined.

To see why, you may imagine a compactification with one dimension whose shape is a circle. Consider a string that randomly vibrates. At some point, its shape resembles the combination of a winding string with "w=+1" and another, nearby one with "w=-1".

Because interactions have to be allowed in string theory, such a closed string must be allowed to split into two strings with the "w=+1" and "w=-1". In fact, the local character of the interaction ("crossing over") is identical to any other interaction where a closed string splits into two.

If you wanted to prohibit the creation of winding strings in this way, you would have to impose rules that would be checking whether wound strings are being created according to some reference frame. Such rules would have to be non-local and they would arguably be unnatural. They would probably lead to further inconsistencies. You could still consider such a theory with global restrictions. At any rate, string theory as string theorists know it is a different theory. It is described by local physics on the worldsheet. It makes sense and nothing is arbitrary in it.

The existence of winding strings is also necessary for us to derive T-duality, among other things.

One-loop Schwinger parameter

Finally, I mentioned that string theory leads to slightly different rules for loop amplitudes than a collection of infinitely many point-like particle fields would. Loop diagrams in field theory may be written as integrals over the Schwinger parameters - essentially lengths of imaginary world lines of the intermediate particles.

Similarly, loop diagrams in string theory are integrals over the so-called moduli (of Riemann surfaces) which generalize the Schwinger parameters except that the number of these parameters is larger by a factor of 2-6. These moduli describe the inequivalent shapes of the worldsheets with a nontrivial topology. The integrals can be re-imagined as integrals over the ordinary Schwinger parameters.
Except that the range of integration is not quite identical.

In field theory, the Schwinger parameter for a one-loop diagram would go from 0 to infinity, counting a length of a circle. In the perturbative theory of closed strings, this diagram would be replaced by a two-dimensional integral over the shape of the torus. If you assume that strings are just point-like particles with many species, the stringy integral over "tau" would cover the area defined by
|Re(tau)| < 1/2,
Im(tau) > 0.
However, the stringy domain of integration is smaller:
|Re(tau)| < 1/2,
Im(tau) > 0, |tau| > 1.
Note that the additional third condition removes the region with a small imaginary part of "tau": this region is (or was) the source of ultraviolet divergences for point-like particles. But in string theory, it corresponds to very thin (ultraviolet) tori which can be - by a rotation by 90 degrees - reinterpreted as very thick (infrared) tori.

One only has to sum over nonequivalent diagrams. Because this "modular group" (not just Z2, actually SL(2,Z)) proves that certain tori are equivalent, only a smaller "fundamental domain" is integrated over. It follows that all extreme regions of the integration space that could give rise to an ultraviolet divergence may be interpreted as extreme "infrared", long-distance regions. Once you prove that the long-distance limit of your theory is consistent, it follows that there can't be any short-distance problems, either: without a loss of generality, all hypothetical short-distance problems have been transformed to long-distance problems.

Summary

To summarize, the worldsheets are more real in perturbative string theory than virtually all laymen and beginners imagine. When the string coupling gets large, all the worldsheets and strings cease to lose their "monopoly" to be the fundamental histories or particles: other objects, such as D-branes, join them (or even supersede them). But as long as you study the weakly coupled string theory perturbatively, worldsheets of string theory are not just a metaphor: they are as real as the worldlines of point-like particles in the old-fashioned point-like particle field theories.

The rules to deal with the worldsheets generalize the methods to deal with the worldlines. And one may always try to "Fourier-expand" worldsheets into worldlines and reinterpret string theory as a theory of point-like particles. Up to some point, such a reinterpretation works but it completely misses the point of string theory - that it actually tells us everything about the structure and behavior of the infinitely many fields. And for technical calculations, the dogmatically applied point-like formulae can lead to results that have subtle errors in them.

And that's the memo.

Villeneuve-sur-Yonne



The reason behind the recent pause on this blog was a trip to Villeneuve-sur-Yonne in Bourgogne, i.e. to the French countryside. Some presentations including mine were given. Laurent Sacco kindly provided me with an excellent übertranslation: that's like a translation except that the content may be freely doubled, organized, completed, and otherwise improved. ;-)

And I lived in a hotel owned by Leslie Caron. I've met some very fine people - French and Czech - and many stories could be covered but unfortunately there's not enough time to do so. Of course, Igor and Grichka Bogdanoff were among the main drivers who pushed me to the event - with a lot of kids interested in science etc.



Jen ai marre, Lumo hit 2006, chosen by the TRF readers from an LM list.

A group of 8 eight-graders from Horní Bříza (Upper Birch Tree), the Czech twin city of Villeneuve-sur-Yonne (10 km from Pilsen), and their principal plus the driver plus the charming math teacher were kind enough to share their microbus with me. Besides warm and personal debates in the bus that are not fit for the hard scientific style of this blog, I had to re-learn how to unscramble Rubik's cube. ;-)

Impressively enough, Cyril Boulleaux - the Villeneuve's mayor - and his staff were the organizing force behind all the events. He is also a sustainably developing mayor who brings solar panels to the town, among other things. Be sure that I was both polite as well as interested in the logic and budget behind all these things. My impression is that he is a genuine believer in all these green things which is OK with me as long as he only "invests" resources that belong to him, either directly or by the democratic mandate.

While I was assured that these things are mostly driven by a genuine desire to make the world better, I wasn't quite convinced that it has been properly calculated that these improvements actually help the big picture.

Igor and Grichka spoke about the origin of time, heavily building on solid facts about special relativity. Prof Joël de Rosnay gave a talk about the "green commandments" which was at least formally a very good talk, unlike mine that was somewhat affected by my moderate fever at that point (soar throat etc). I participated in a discussion for France Blue, a French radio station, but knowing no French, the participation was somewhat symbolic. ;-)

What they were saying was very nice but I am afraid that if I could speak French, I couldn't quite support the positive words about the Lamarckian biology by Prof Rosney and others. You know, the Lamarck biology just doesn't work. The flow of information goes from the genotype (and DNA) to the phenotype (and proteins) only. I am convinced that all evidence is supporting this "central dogma of molecular biology". You might find it "asymmetric" or discriminating or contradicting some philosophical agendas of yours but that's how biology works. In fact, it would be hard for Nature to develop also the "reverse" dictionaries by evolution, especially if they're not needed.

Czech president Klaus has calculated that in order to replace a common 1000-megawatt block of a nuclear power plant, you would have to place wind turbines for every five meters of the highway between Prague and Brussels. In fact, this speculation is pretty close to reality because this is how the Pilsen-Paris highways through Germany and France almost looked like. ;-)

Wednesday, June 10, 2009 ... Français/Deutsch/Español/Česky/Japanese/Related posts from blogosphere

Changes of dimensionful quantities are unphysical

Juliane Dalcanton asked the question whether anyone cares about the publications in Nature these days.

Some people submit their papers not only into the fast arXiv, in order to be the first ones and to share the results quickly, but they still want to use the power of journal Nature to influence a broader public which requires the papers to be embargoed before they're printed. So in reality, all experts know about the new paper (from the arXiv) but they must pretend that they don't.

I agree with Julianne that it is an ethically questionable decision to restrict the freedom of speech of the readers of the arXiv if the only possible gain is a personal gain of the authors. But I guess that the "embargoed" label cannot possibly have any legal (or moral) strength unless you have signed a contract with Nature - so everyone is free to ignore it.

Dmitry Podolsky wanted to write about certain new papers describing the observations of the most distant known object in the Universe but he had to remove the links. I am not sure whether he was legally bound to do so, but he did so, anyway.

Does journal Nature still matter? Well, I think it surely influences a broader educated public, in a similar way as major newspapers. But I don't think it is important as a resource for experts in the fields of science that I am familiar with. In those contexts, it is just a popular magazine.

The main topic: units

At Cosmic Variance, Count Iblis mentioned a very interesting story about a simple paper by Mike Duff who in 2002 wanted to correct some common myths that affect a huge part of the popular literature about physics and most science journalists.

Duff's paper was rejected by Nature but not because it was about an obvious topic that every good (in physics) high school student understands (and I surely understood them when I was 12 or so) but because two referees have independently "disagreed" with Duff, to use a polite verb for their acting as complete idiots.

Disappointingly enough, Paul Davies shared the stunning misunderstanding with the referees.

Duff's point was simple and obvious: only the values (and time variation) of dimensionless quantities have a universal physical meaning. Whether or not dimensionful quantities are changing with time depends on our choice of units (and how these units are changing with time relatively to other units). And because units depend on arbitrary social conventions, their hypothetical "change" or "constancy" has no invariant meaning.

The referees and Paul Davies couldn't possibly understand this trivial fact. They were claiming how "fundamental" it is to find out whether the speed of light was changing with time, and all this nonsense. The difference of their opinions clearly exists in the case of all dimensionful quantities, not just the speed of light.

They agreed with this point and interpreted it as a reason to think that their opinion about the "fundamental importance of constancy of the speed of light" had to be right because all of their understanding of physics would otherwise collapse. What the "universality" of the questions about the dimensionful quantities actually meant was that their knowledge of all physics had actually been collapsed already.

With different units, various quantities may be constant or variable. Let's look at kilograms, meters, and seconds. Until 1960, one second was defined as a fraction of the solar day (that was required to be 24 hours long) while centuries ago, one meter was defined as a fraction of a meridian (whose circumference was required to be 40,000 kilometers). Finally, one kilogram was defined to be approximately the weight of 1 liter (one cubed decimeter) of water under certain conditions.

As our measurements were improving, people found more accurate and reliable ways to define the units. With these new prototypes, they were able to show that their previous ideas about the length of solar days or meridians or the density of water were not quite accurate. The new, more accurate units allowed them to express the length of the solar day or the meridian or the density of water - and the figures were accurate numbers that were demonstrably different from 24 hours, 40,000 km, and 1000 kg/m^3 - constants that were previously considered "holy" or at least true by definition. Spectroscopy turned out to be the most accurate methodology to measure times and distances.

So until 1983, meters and seconds were defined as multiples of wavelengths and periods of electromagnetic waves emitted by two independent atomic transitions. That changed in 1983 when the meter was redefined to be 1/299,792,458 of a light second (measured in the vacuum). With this new definition, the speed of light is guaranteed to be constant in these units, namely 299,792,458 m/s. Period.

It should be obvious that with different units, the speed of light in the very same world could vary. For example, if one second were defined as a fraction (1/86,400) of the solar day while one meter would be defined by spectroscopy, the speed of light would fluctuate because of the irregularities (and deceleration) of the rotation of our blue planet. The fluctuations of such a value of the speed of light would tell us nothing about the deep questions about the light or the spacetime; they would only reflect mundane, low-energy facts about astronomy.

The definition that keeps "c" constant by definition can be used in any world, regardless of the time-dependence of some parameters of physics. One can impose as many choices of this kind as the number of independent units ("N") we use - for example "1=c=hbar=G=epsilon_{0}=k_{Boltzmann}=N_{Avogadro}". Let me omit candelas which are too non-fundamental, because of their desire to match the sensitivity of the human eye, and the U.S. dollar that may collapse soon under the weight of the current irresponsible U.S. socialist government and that has never been a part of the SI units, anyway.

In fact, a physicist should make these (or similar) choices, in order to remove the "N" universal quantities (or functions of time) that are unknown but that are also completely unphysical, unnecessary, and unmeasurable. At some moments in the past, "N" was higher. For example, before Joule found that heat was energy, people had to use different units for heat and for work. Here, you should imagine an essay explaining all revolutions in physics as explanations why certain constants are naturally equal to one.

The only problem that could affect - but almost certainly doesn't - the modern definition of the speed of light is that it could be ambiguous because light at different frequencies could propagate by different speeds while the definition doesn't specify the frequency. They almost certainly propagate by the same speed, because of both direct experiments and indirect theoretical arguments based on Lorentz symmetry and consistency conditions.

But even if the speed of light were frequency-dependent, we could choose a preferred frequency - e.g. the light emitted by those popular atomic transitions - and define (one meter so that we could see) the speed of this light to be a fixed value, for example c = 299,792,458 m/s. A priori, meters and seconds are independent, so it is always possible to impose one condition (in fact, two conditions) restricting their values.

Only the dimensionless parameters such as the fine-structure constant or mass ratios have an invariant meaning that doesn't depend on "social conventions". It's very obvious that extraterrestrial aliens wouldn't be using our second or our meter - for example because their planet has a different size and different speed of rotation. They would also fail to use the relation between cubed meters and kilograms because water wouldn't be their most important compound. They could also use a non-decimal, "bosonic" numeral system if they had 26 rather than 10 fingers. ;-)

If the dimensionless constants of Nature are really constant, the ratio of our units and the units used by an advanced extraterrestrial civilization would almost certainly be constant. After all, all of us could naturally use the same Planck units.

But if some dimensionless quantities were changing with time, we would have a couple of equally natural conventions telling us what should be kept fixed (while other things have to change). String theorists know such things very well. For example, distances in perturbative string theory can be measured in the string units or the Planck units (among related options); these units multiplicatively differ by a power of the string coupling constant (the exponential of the dilaton) which may be variable (however, not in the realistic, stabilized vacua).

The difference between the Planck length and string length even influences general relativity: the whole metric tensor may be redefined and multiplied by a power of the coupling constant (which is a function of spacetime coordinates). Such an operation switches us from the string frame (with distances measured in string lengths) to the Einstein frame (with distances measured in the Planck length) or vice versa. These two frames differ by the coefficient of the Einstein-Hilbert term, "R", in the action. The Einstein frame has a constant pre-factor while the string frame has exp(-2.phi) prefactor, arising from the "sphere" diagram.

These comments are no difficult subtleties of string theory; they're much simpler than that. The possibility of having several unit systems - in which some things can look constant in one system but variable in another system - can appear in much simpler models. Duff himself mentioned Planck units, Stoney units, and Schrödinger units.

Amusingly enough, Magueijo who has written lots of papers with silly titles like the "variable speed of light" was found by Duff to realize that only the change of dimensionless quantities was physical: Duff thought that Magueijo had chosen the titles to be more attractive for the dumb journalists who liked to talk about a changing speed of light - but he meant some physical changes of dimensionless quantities. That's what Duff thought until he had seen a more recent paper that proved that Magueijo misunderstood what units meant in physics, too.

So I think that Magueijo is among the people who completely misunderstand this point and a huge portion of his papers are just boasting about this rudimentary ignorance.

Unfortunately, there are more famous people who are confused. Lev Okuň wrote some texts that influenced me when I was kid. Nevertheless, in a 2001 trialogue with Duff and Veneziano, he argued that one can't say that 1=c=hbar=G because the right-hand sides are dimensionful: instead, he proposed an arrow, and similar nonsense. Well, if we use units where "1=c=hbar=G", they're manifestly dimensionless: and be damn sure that we can use such units.

Even Veneziano was extremely confused. He thought that one couldn't use "c,hbar,G" as conversion factors because they already had a different meaning (when things are O(1) in natural units, new phenomena occur). Well, this is actually the same meaning. Exactly because "hbar" measures the typical angular momentum or action where quantum mechanics fully shows its muscles, it is a natural conversion factor and the conversion may be done (it can be done even with unnatural factors). It's just not true that these two things are incompatible.

Veneziano also says that aliens (in his case, female aliens) will agree with our values of "c" and other constants. How is that possible? Well, because they had to adopt (and be told about the definition of) our units, our methodology, and our everything else. But in that case, they're no independent extraterrestrial aliens: they're just our secretaries. This is totally missing the point which is that their values of "c" will be different before they're forced to adopt our units, methods, and Christianity. ;-) After all, we don't need aliens to define new units whose ratio with the old ones may be time-dependent; as mentioned above, people on this planet have done it many times in the past.

These "controversies" are examples of situations in which my pedagogical skills are chased out by the fear of stupidity. How can sensible people possibly disagree about such simple and obvious matters? I just think that every physicist must be able to sort out these things by herself: there's no room for a "leadership" by teachers. If someone isn't able to independently understand that the "size" or "time-dependence" of a unit is a human convention, and so is inevitably any statement that depends on such units, she or he can't possibly be able to reliably figure out anything else about the real world, can she?

Indeed, I must admit, Veneziano's discovery of string theory doesn't quite fit my picture. ;-) Well, the message is that even if you are confused by simple things such as the meaning of units in physics, you may discover something as big as string theory!

Tuesday, June 09, 2009 ... Français/Deutsch/Español/Česky/Japanese/Related posts from blogosphere

White book: genetically modified crops

Sorry, this blog may be silent for one week.

The Biology Center of the Czech Academy of Sciences has published

The White Book on Genetically Modified Crops (PDF, click).
On 98 pages, Prof František Sehnal, Prof Jaroslav Drobník, and their collaborators summarize and analyze the EU policies concerning GM crops and evaluate the results of their 30+ research papers that happen to show no negative health or environmental impact.

(If you're growing something, the biggest risk of GMO seeds is that they may be patented.)

Their goal is not to promote GM crops themselves but rather the rational thinking in policymaking - which happens to mean that the obsolete, excessively strict, 20-year-old EU policies should be weakened. The wise introductory page 3/98 of their booklet should be read in many other contexts, especially in climate science, and let me reproduce it here:
The history of major human discoveries shows that fundamentalist ideology, ignorance, and greed often suppress the truth, but only for a certain period of time. This book was prepared with the desire to shorten the period of false apprehension of GM crops in Europe.
The booklet summarizes the opinions of pretty much all Czech experts on the subject. New EU rules to estimate the risk of GM crops should be completed by Spring 2010 so it's time for all the responsible people to read similar booklets. Stavros Dimas, the EU environment commissioner and a big GMO hater, has already received a copy.

I am afraid that Dimas prefers a different kind of letters from those green weeds who don't need to send 30+ papers or 98 pages of a summary written by leading biologists of a country: an anti-technological attitude of loud morons is more important for him.



Most farmers are not afraid of GM crops.

Among other things, the Czech biologists argue that
  1. decisions shouldn't contradict existing evidence
  2. results rather than methods of breeding should be the key criteria
  3. the precautionary principle should be replaced by costs-and-benefits analyses in all sectors of agriculture
  4. pluses and minuses of all new proposals as well as the old methods they replace (which often include pesticides) should be counted
  5. economic considerations should play a role, too
  6. if individual EU countries are allowed to strengthen and extend some bans, they should also be allowed to loosen them
Concerning the last point, Czechia would benefit from Amflora potatoes (siblings of BASF videotapes that are good to produce environmentally friendly plastic materials). Many people hold ultraconservative, or reactionary opinions about new plants.

But we shouldn't forget that even ordinary potatoes themselves are a result of recent innovation of the European agriculture. Modern subspecies of potatoes were cultivated in Chile roughly 10,000 years ago but imported to Europe in 1536.

Today, genetically modified plants constitute 10% of the market and if you believe that Charles Darwin was right, they're whopping 100% of the market. ;-) The GMO policymaking depends almost exclusively on experts in the U.S. while it is largely determined by ordinary people, democracy, and Greenpeace in Europe. For example, Nicolas Sarkozy needed the green votes to win and he only knew two algorithms how to achieve the goal. It would be too hard to sacrifice nuclear energy in France (a nuclear superpower) - so the GMO plants had to go in the country. ;-)

Farmers, oversupply, and green religious sentiments

Some farmers say that it's stupid to make plants more efficient and resilient if we have enough of them. Well, one year ago, we were on the edge of a serious food shortage. These farmers also reveal a seemingly wise sentiment coming from somewhere in between Christianity and green fundamentalism. They say that Nature can never give us more stuff without punishing us. Well, it actually can and it does.

There exists no conservation law for the amount of useful products that people produce - and in some sense, the "anomaly" or violation of this law is measured by the GDP growth which (after integration) has been positive during nearly all decades of the last 600 years, as well as most other periods of the human history. ;-)



You Are My Master (Musical: Dracula, music by K. Svoboda). A top Czech singer, Ms Lucie Bílá, loved Count Dracula despite his being a vampire. So I suppose she has no problems with GMOs, either.

One can only argue that there is (almost) no free lunch if there exists an (approximate) conservation law for the given quantity. That's not the case of GMO which are a textbook example of progress that is capable to violate such laws. Economics is not a zero-sum game. Technological breakthroughs are among the factors that make the sum positive, much like market pressures that lead the players to replace less efficient products and approaches by more efficient ones.

Monday, June 08, 2009 ... Français/Deutsch/Español/Česky/Japanese/Related posts from blogosphere

CERN: CLOUD on cloud number nine

The LHC is not the only experiment that will begin to collect the data later in 2009.



The chamber has arrived: click here if the video is missing.

CLOUD - Cosmics Leaving OUtdoor Droplets - just got closer to reality because of the operation you can see in the video above: their three-meter diameter cloud chamber has just arrived.

On CLOUD nine (CERN press release)
The experiment will try to find out whether the ions (similar to the galactic cosmic rays) influence the creation of clouds in the atmosphere. In other words, whether a roof is necessary for the cloud chambers to operate. ;-)

The inflow of ions may be subsequently modulated by the variations of solar activity. Because clouds cool the surface by 30 W/m^2, which is 20 times higher than the assumed CO2 forcing, be sure that small systematic changes of the cloud cover are damn important for the climate.

If the influence is found to exist, a widely suspected major climate driver will be quantified. Further sources:
CLOUD proposal documents
A talk by Jasper Kirkby on last Thursday:
... Poster (PDF), Slides (PDF), Video (CDS)
Funnily enough, the host of the seminar was string theorist Luis Alvarez-Gaume. He introduced a "part of the CERN furniture for 25 years". :-) The last sentence on the slides reaches comic proportions. After having spent 1 hour and 44 pages with this natural climate driver, the whole work is motivated by the desire for a better understanding of anthropogenic climate change. ;-)



Kirkby's talk at CERN: click here if the video is missing.

Despite this "happy end", let's wish the experiment success and we will see what it says.

Hat tip: Benny Peiser

Technical comment: the videos above appear in Microsoft Internet Explorer, Chrome, and other browsers, but not in Firefox, among others. Sorry but all of those videos can be found on the pages I have linked. And "click here" could work (and open an external player) for most browsers that don't show the player.

Kumar, Taylor: no swampland in 6 dimensions

Vijay Kumar and Wati Taylor wrote a new paper,

String universality in six dimensions,
in which they argue that every low-energy supergravity action (or set of equations of motion) in six dimensions is realized (and UV-completed) as a stringy compactification.

Although the stringy constraints may look very different than the field-theoretical constraints, especially the anomaly cancellation conditions (with the cute number 243 that you will see again if you read the paper), it turns out that they are mostly equivalent. String theory reproduces all the constraints of field theory and it may add additional ones - those that exclude the "swampland".

Except that the six-dimensional setup is an example where the set of these additional constraints may be empty, as they claim. If true, that would mean that without a loss of generality, you may always assume that a six-dimensional supergravitational action is actually a part of a stringy compactification: string/M-theory is universal, in this sense.

Discrete classification of vacua only

Now, one should appreciate the limitations of this conclusion. They're only talking about the strict infrared limit - the massless fields and their interactions. So the supergravitational effective theories they consider can't possibly contain any information about the spectrum of massive states, e.g. the continuous masses themselves. The latter - including excited strings, branes, and black hole microstates - inevitably carry the stringy/M signature.

Also, the case of six dimensions is special and differs from the four-dimensional theories that are directly relevant for phenomenology. In six dimensions, which is of the form D=4k+2, there are many potential types of anomalies, and the field-theoretical consistency constraints are consequently very strong.

I've mentioned that the "field theories" contain no information about the massive states and their physics. But in six dimensions, it seems that there are really no "dimensionless couplings", additional continuous parameters that we are familiar with from four dimensions, either. For example, the counterpart of the scale-invariant "lambda phi to the fourth" theory in four dimensions is "lambda phi cubed" in six dimensions. But such a theory is unstable because the third power is unlimited from both sides: it is incompatible with supersymmetry (and has other problems).

In fact, the non-gravitational six-dimensional field theories of the (2,0) type are determined only by discrete data, too. Recall that the N=4 d=4 gauge coupling arises from the shape of a two-torus on which one compactifies the (2,0) theory.

In six dimensions, the minimum supersymmetry is (1,0), carrying one chiral spinor which has 8 real components or 8 supercharges. That's enough for the moduli spaces to be exact - both in field theory and string theory. They give a continuous degeneracy to the qualitatively "different models".

That's also the source of many differences between the 6D case and the 4D case. In the latter case, when we're doing phenomenology, we care about stabilized vacua with fixed values of the scalars (by a potential that is often forced to vanish for 8 supercharges, e.g. in 6 dimensions).

Differences between 4D and 6D

So the "countable" sets of stringy vacua can actually match the countable classes of six-dimensional effective field theories that are only classified by the matter contents and other discrete or "qualitative" data. In my opinion, this makes it impossible to generalize such conclusions into four dimensions because in four dimensions, the anomaly constraints are much weaker and most of the interesting physics affects the particles and fields that are massive, at least a little bit.

The countable set of stringy vacua clearly allows at most a countable set of electromagnetic U(1) fine-structure constants, among other parameters. So one surely can't cover the "whole parameter spaces" of the low-energy parameter spaces of four-dimensional field theories.

The strongest variation of the Kumar-Taylor conjecture would have to talk about a "dense subset" and it is very questionable how "dense" the subset of the parameter space would have to be (and how dense it actually is in reality, and how you even define the density). If the density is low, the "quantitative" differences in the coupling constants may begin to look "qualitative", after all. And I feel that there's no real, qualitative difference between "quantitative differences" and "qualitative differences" between four-dimensional effective field theories. ;-)

Also, to make such a weakened conjecture relevant for phenomenology, it would have to include some light fields to the effective field theory - because the strictly massless limit of the theory of our Universe only contains gravitons and photons, while other particles are massive. But it would be very subtle to divide the "light" particles from the more general "massive" ones: there is no sharp boundary in between them. So I doubt that there is any simple yet robust extension of their conjecture to the four-dimensional case.

Predictivity in general

Kumar and Taylor stress that whether or not a candidate theory of quantum gravity (manifested primarily at the Planck scale) implies new predictions for low-energy physics has absolutely no impact on the probability that this candidate theory is valid. Well, no doubt about that. We or someone else may "wish" to derive new predictions for other contexts, besides the regimes where the new dynamics obviously manifests itself as new effects of order 100% (i.e. besides the Planck scale), but this attitude may remain a wishful thinking, not a criterion of validity.

(Except that particular technical work, e.g. in the F-theory phenomenology, shows that it is not just a wishful thinking but a reality. The recent arguments that the realistic vacua come from an E_8 gauge group is a great example.)

But I think that there is a subtle linguistic or logical point at which the authors (K+T) are fooling themselves when they interpret their findings (in six dimensions, and morally extended to four dimensions without much evidence) as implying that "string theory" has no consequences for low-energy physics. What they have actually collected is some evidence supporting the statement that, using the jargon of Hartle and Srednicki, the triple
{string theory, a probability distribution for the vacua, a xerographic distribution}
implies nothing about the low-energy physics: however, in their sloppy jargon, they use the term "string theory" for the triple above. Needless to say, they mostly assume the anthropic probability distribution. It's equivalent to the assumption that all vacua of string theory must be considered equally "real" and "possible": this assumption includes the assumption that no new vacuum selection mechanism will be found in the future.

Unwanted predictions that appear, anyway

In fact, their omission is worse than that. If the number of vacua is very large, and it arguably is, even the (unmotivated) "democratic" probability distribution may lead to "peaks" in the low-energy parameter space, analogous to those that you encounter when you use the saddle-point evaluation. So even if you start with distributions that seemingly imply no predictions, the large number of vacua is able to make some predictions, after all.

They realize this "problem" - although one would usually view this observation as good news. But it kind of doesn't fit their desired, preconceived conclusion that the low-energy physics should be unaffected by the Planck scale considerations, ;-) so they want to "overlook" the mechanism from the previous paragraph. In other words, they're not really using an a priori well-defined anthropic probability distribution for the vacua. They're modifying their distribution on the run, i.e. a posteriori, and their preferred distribution is one that is compatible with their desired conclusion - i.e. assumption - that the Planck scale physics won't influence the low-energy physics. :-)

That's why their conclusions are pretty much vacuous for the vacuum selection discussion - they only "deduce" as much as they assume from the beginning. The authors are unfortunately trying to "hide" some of their assumptions. The "actual" probability distribution for the landscape and the xerographic distribution is not quite known at this moment. It is needed for conclusions of the type that Kumar and Taylor want to make. Because the conclusions depend on the distributions, Kumar and Taylor simply can't make such "decoupling" conclusions before the actual distribution is actually known. Unless they're making a logical mistake, which they probably do.

And that's the memo.

Bonus: a nice string field theory paper

The first hep-th paper is about the bosonic string field theory. Martin Schnabl and Ted Erler construct the closed string vacuum solution of bosonic string field theory in a new gauge, the (nonlinear Erler-Schnabl) "dressed B_0 gauge", which seems to lead to much shorter expressions and verifications of Sen's theorems about the vacuum condensation than the original Schnabl gauge solution.

They explicitly construct the transformation proving the equivalence of the solutions, too.

Sunday, June 07, 2009 ... Français/Deutsch/Español/Česky/Japanese/Related posts from blogosphere

Social democrats began to evaporate from the European Parliament

The 2009 European Parliament elections were somewhat encouraging for the center-right and right-wing parties.

Misery for social democrats as voters take a turn to the right
Center-right and conservative parties won in almost all European countries.

In Poland, the rightwingers secured about 80% of the votes and 88% of the seats, no kidding. In Hungary, right-wing and center-right parties won 82% of the seats. Center-right parties also won in the U.K., France, Germany, Italy, Spain, Czechia, and many others. In the U.K., the Tories won while the Labor Party came out as third: the second largest party is the pro-Klaus climate skeptical Euro-skeptical U.K. Independent Party: congratulations.

Benny Peiser speculates that the Labor failure is partially a result of its green policies. As Sonja A. Boehner-Christiansen comments, if that's so, the political parties haven't yet realized that they're destroying their bases by the green policies.

The Guardian revealed their hopes that the social democrats would at least win in the Czech Republic because the boss of the center-right Civic Democrats was seen in Berlusconi's villa. Well, the newspaper should hire better analysts instead of the left-wing crackpots with all of their wishful thinking whom the Guardian bosses are employing at this moment. Berlusconi was unaffected, too.

This is the map of the winning parties in Czech regions after 40% of the voting districts have been counted.



Update: In the final results, the Olomouc region (containing the left part of the "V" attached in the Northeast) went to social democrats.

Yes, despite being only half-erect, Mr Topolánek and his party managed to win every single region in this not quite important election. The turnout has been around 40% in the EU, a record low, while it was close to 28% in Czechia, still well above 20% in Slovenia and 19% in Slovakia.

In these elections, Slovakia became a black sheep of Europe not only because of its lowest turnout but also because Fico, a social democratic populist who doesn't consider the Velvet Revolution important, became the clear winner together with his "Smer" ("Direction").

Concerning Czechia, the journalists claim that the Civic Democrats have been afraid of the result that we are seeing - a clear victory over the Left - because the Left would mobilize its forces before the really important national elections in the Fall. Well, I don't quite see the logic here. In my opinion, the Left mobilizes when things are working well for them which is not the case of Spring 2009. They can only earn if the other party carries too much responsibility - which is not the case of the EU Parliament.

Only four major parties - Civic Democrats (31%, 9 deputies), Social Democrats (23%, 7 deputies), Communists (15%, 4 deputies), and Christian Democrats (8%, 2 deputies) - have made it to the European Parliament. Ms Jana Bobošíková who leads the "Sovereignty" ticket (4.5%) was the only other candidate who had some temporary hope to surpass the 5% threshold. Many groups I liked are gone - on the other hand, the suppression of the socialists is good news and many parties whom I dislike (like all Czech green parties) are gone, too. Others have strengthened.

Sweden is sending the Pirate (pro-Warez) Party (7%).

Saturday, June 06, 2009 ... Français/Deutsch/Español/Česky/Japanese/Related posts from blogosphere

Why aren't the mechanical watches extinct already?



Porsche's titanium mechanical chronograph with 800 parts is very accurate. Fourty copies were produced in 2005. Just for $150,000, it's yours: and it looks just like a digital watch from the outside.



Daniel Holz was brave enough to reveal his technocratic character and asked the question how it was possible that companies could still sell mechanical watches even though they're less accurate, heavier, and more expensive than the quartz watches based on the piezoelectric properties of a mineral with the same name.

Dan suggests that people only care about the mechanical watches because they're being irrationally brainwashed by commercials. Well, I also care about the efficiency of things but this is an example of a situation where I see how crazy it can be if someone doesn't see the rest of the world because of that.

Sex has survived, too

Fundie has offered a comment that paraphrased and sharpened Dan's paradox:
Flip through a random magazine, and you are likely to be confronted by one of the great mysteries of modern times: a celebration of non-reproductive sex. For the past 30 years it has been possible to acquire a child without having sex at all. These children are small and light, and do an extraordinary job of being children. 
Nonetheless, there is a flourishing market for non-reproductive sex. The participants are generally large and heavy, are significantly more expensive, and most importantly, are far inferior as generators of children: easily a factor of ten worse than their reproductively unrestricted counterparts. How could there still exist a market for these obviously inferior sex objects? The answer lies somewhere in the unfathomable realm of fashion and marketing.
Well, that's a real paradox. ;-) In this case, Dan would be kind of right. The opinion that sex is fascinating is an irrational artifact of our brains' being contaminated by hormones. :-)

An even stranger question is why would the (mostly straight!) readers of El Pais want to see the photograph of a naked Czech prime minister in the Italian prime minister's villa, especially if his semi-aroused gadget could have been photoshopped, as Topolánek has (not quite) assured his voters such as myself and others. ;-) Why would anyone pay millions to the disgraceful papparazzo who has no respect for the privacy of others?

You know, the case of mechanical watches is remotely analogous. There are many aspects that I find fascinating. One of them is the mystery how could the people produce accurate mechanical watches a few centuries ago, without all the infrastructure we have today.

Nowadays, the boss, namely a computer, decides about the design, and his or her or its human employees have to produce them. But can you imagine how they did all the components, testing, trials, errors, and adjustments in the 1700s?

This craft has been unbelievable

For most human achievements, your humble correspondent can see that he could do the same work, too - or at least the job is qualitatively analogous to something that I could do and the required improvements to invent, discover, or produce something would be just "quantitative" in nature.

But I still feel that creating accurate mechanical watches in the 18th century is not among those things. It's an engineering miracle. It's not the type of science and technology that I had always wanted to follow at an arbitrarily increasing depth but it is fantastic, anyway.

And be sure that it's not because I haven't tried. When I was five or six, I wanted all of technology to be reduced to gears and wheels. So I have drawn hundreds of pictures explaining how various processes could be mimicked by mechanical components - lots of elements for mechanical calculators and similar things. But as a theorist, I have never actually built any mechanical calculators or clocks. ;-)



And holy smoke, what about the reactionary classical music in the background? Hasn't it been superseded by rock, rap, hip hop, pop yet? :-)

Mechanical watches are not functionally equivalent

Many of the arguments in favor of the mechanical watches above were concerned with their beauty, the respect to other people's amazing skills, nostalgia, snobbery, and also the power of marketing, as Dan noticed. (I don't find the word "fashion" too appropriate in this context because old ideas, traditions, and gadgets such as mechanical watches are kind of "conservative" rather than "fashionable".) Anyway, all these reasons to like the mechanical watches could be viewed as being somewhat irrational.

But I think that even at the level of the hyper-rational criteria that Daniel favors, he is missing something.

The matter of fact is that the cheap quartz watches are simply not functionally equivalent. They don't require the same care, they don't produce the same sounds, they may require batteries which may have an unknown (and therefore irritating) health or environmental impact, and so on.

But even if you focus on the accuracy, Daniel simply doesn't have any proof that he is right that this technological branch should go extinct. The mechanical watches he knows in 2009 may be less accurate than the quartz watches. But is this guaranteed to be the case forever?

Maybe it will, maybe it won't. Yes, I think it is likely that in the following decades, the quartz watches - and all technologies based on "more microscopic" technologies - will remain more accurate. But I just don't see any universal inequality comparing the accuracy of the two technologies that you could convincingly prove. They work differently so different kinds of technological breakthroughs may influence the two classes of watches differently.

And is Daniel really so sure that his quartz watches are more accurate or reliable than the Porsche watches I started with? Well, in this case, his bet would be marginally right: the Porsche miracle deviates by a few seconds a day. But can't it change?

If two memes, genes, or technological ideas are inequivalent and, in this sense, "incomparable", i.e. if you're far from proving the inequality suggested above, it is very reasonable that neither of them goes completely extinct. The differences will always be viewed as virtues or disadvantages by different people.

Light-bulbs

We have encountered the very same dilemma when we talked about the fluorescent light-bulbs. Once again, the incandescent and fluorescent light-bulbs differ in many details. People are aware of them, they can tell you what the differences are, and many of those people will consider the differences to be advantages of the classical light-bulbs (color, stable intensity, more innocent chemical compounds inside, shape, transparency of their design, and even the heat).

So unless you are Fidel Castro, you should forget about bans on incandescent light-bulbs. For similar reasons, plasma TVs have many virtues and possible applications that cannot be mimicked by the LCD panels or other technologies. So unless you are another illegitimate brother of Fidel Castro in the EU Commission or the U.K. Labor Party, you should forget about banning them, too.

The percentages of different competing technologies will be changing and they will be influenced by all kinds of considerations, especially the rational ones - such as the accuracy and price of the watches and/or quality of the image, colors, and consumption of electricity in the case of light-bulbs and TV screens.

But it's just not true that it's natural for one of those percentages to strictly go to zero unless you can literally prove that the winning technology is "objectively better in every conceivable respect, regardless of the application". And even if you can prove such a thing, some people will still collect antiquities. The people who buy mechanical clocks are somewhere in between the collectors of antiquities on one side and Dan-like efficient technocrats on the other side. ;-)

Another argument related to something I have already discussed is the following: It's a good idea not to eliminate all of research and development of mechanical watches or incandescent light-bulbs because even if they remain inferior as gadgets for average users, their best models in the year 2050 may evolve into something completely new that couldn't be made out of quartz or fluorescent light-bulbs.

And undergraduate kids are going to learn mechanics before electromagnetism and the piezoelectric effect in the future, too. It's more elementary and closer to Nature (and nature of technology) as understood by our great grandparents. We can't lose the contact with this layer of reality and know-how.

Finally, the cultural instinct of humans to admire fine mechanical devices even if their practical applications are limited is similar to our built-in desire to learn how the world works. Pure (non-applied) scientists should simply have some understanding for that!

Fundamentalism

Because of all these reasons, I think that with all my respect to him, Daniel's approach is one of a narrow-minded fundamentalist - and his desire to eliminate the mechanical watches is similar to the desire of many Muslims to erase the infidels off the map of our blue, and not green planet.

And that's the memo.

Tetris: 25 years

Tetris, the first globally addictive puzzle video game, was created exactly 25 years ago, on June 6th, 1984, by Alexey Pajitnov at the Academy of Sciences in Moscow.

Full screen...
Congratulations.

Friday, June 05, 2009 ... Français/Deutsch/Español/Česky/Japanese/Related posts from blogosphere

Green bubble popping

And PC is fun with The Goode Family...

If you search for global warming at Google News, you will obtain 16,500 articles from the last 30 days. That's an amazing drop from the peak that occurred a year ago or so (or two years?) when the corresponding number was well above 50,000.



George Will has written a widely published essay arguing that the green bubble has burst. An excerpt from "The Goode Family", mentioned by Will, including their dog Che Guevara who is vegan when supervised, is embedded above.

If you don't know this crazy PC liberal Goode family, see the preview (2 minutes) or this trailer (2 minutes) or this one (4 minutes): Fridays 8:30 p.m. EDT on ABC (from next week). So far you have only missed episode 1x01 and episode 1x02 and episode 1x03 (21 minutes each).

European Parliament: elections



Due to its limited chances (partly caused by the insufficiently inclusive relations to similar parties), I can't promise to vote "The Party of Free Citizens", a new Euro-skeptic of Petr Mach, but their TV spot is pretty amusing and their ideas are just right.

In Czechia, the most likely key match will be one between the center-right Civic Democrats and the left-wing Social Democrats; the remaining 38 parties and blocs will fight for their survival. A flash game is a nice training for the duel: don't be intimidated by the socialist politicians who will be threatening as you play. ;-) And I hope that the Civic Democrats will win in this "training" for the "real" elections to the national Parliament to be held in the Fall.


David Černý's provoking "Entropa" pictured the Netherlands as an underwater land only with the minarets that made it above the surface. ;-)

In the Netherlands, the polls are over. The victorious Christian democrats (CDA) with 20% were almost matched by Geert Wilders' anti-immigration PVV with 17%. As you know, I am no supporter of far-right parties but their strengthening may be viewed as a refreshing, and to some extent necessary, reaction to the growing influence of far-left, politically correct parties and PC wings of centrist parties.

Silly stories from the voting room

I arrived as the first person in my district. The voting room was a classroom of an elementary school. The second person who arrived there decided to support a true "personality" which, as I learned soon, was Miloslav Ransdorf, the #1 of the communist party ticket ("a walking encyclopedia with a skewed mouth").

Because I really didn't want to argue with a smiling communist, I told him that I was just arranging the purchase of a new laptop (not yet completed) for the father-in-law of the first non-Soviet non-American astronaut, Vladimír Remek. The voter happily said that Remek was the #2 on his preferred ticket.

I had known that the guy from the commission supervising the election process and checking my ID was a merry communist, too. ;-)

So I told him "good afternoon or honor to the labor or whatever is your preferred greeting now". Although "honor to the labor" ("čest práci") has been the preferred greeting of this guy and his comrades for 40+ years, he didn't look particularly nostalgic or happy about my greeting. But he still kindly allowed me to vote, even though he made it very clear that he would be happy if I failed to submit the envelope to the proper box.

On the street, wind succeeded to spread the remaining 39 tickets across the road. Fortunately, there was a nearby class with 10 girls (age 6 or so, first graders or kindergarten) who immediately and happily helped me to collect the mess. One of them, with the highest number of tickets, was declared the winner of the contest by me and their teacher. :-)

Endowments and long-term thinking

Harvard University has become a role model in the discussions about the fate of wealthy universities in the wake of the economic downturn. A kind of irrational hysteria is controlling many journalists and members of the university community, too. See e.g.

Drew Gilpin Faust and the incredible shrinking Harvard
in Boston magazine. During the Golden Summers Years, everything seemed rosy. The university president had bold plans and he expected great work from the members of the community, too. Needless to say, many people were irritated by this atmosphere of high expectations - and the academically weaker ones were much more likely to be irritated. Greetings to Cornel West.

Summers decided to rebuild Allston, a neighborhood of the Greater Boston across the Charles river from Cambridge. On the favorite picture I took, the painter is sitting on the Allston side and he is looking at Cambridge; click to zoom in. Harvard began to build the future world's headquarters of genetics and other biological sciences. Some details were not yet decided but the ambitions were great.

But very often, after Summers come the Falls.

Before the market crash of 2008, the endowment was at USD 37 billion. That's very close to the assets of the world's wealthiest person today. As you know, these people were most severely hit by the crash, relatively speaking. The billionaires' worth dropped by 50% in average. Harvard has only sacrificed 30% or so, getting closer to USD 25 billion.

You can see that it was no extraordinary loss relatively to other extremely wealthy individuals and institutions, and Harvard has clearly been one for many years even though some victimist people who are being fed by the institution (imagine the Feminist or Black departments or other departments of professional whining parasites) still love to consider themselves poor. The wealthy individuals and institutions are exactly those that can afford to store their savings in risky assets - because they can afford (or at least "survive") their drop which is what risky assets sometimes do. Harvard managers have followed a similar strategy.

The endowments are financial "pillows" and it has become a standard policy that in average, a university spends about 5% of its endowment every year. The universities have several independent sources of money but the endowment usually grows by more than 5% a year in average. What should happen with these figures during an economic downturn such as the recent one?

I think it's obvious that the number "5%" should increase simply because the size of the endowment naturally decreases during the downturn. The very purpose of the endowment is to make the university ready for a few difficult years (or even decades). It's clear that some daily spending of almost everyone has to be regulated during recessions. But there should still exist a kind of long-term thinking.

It seems that the current leaders of Harvard - including the historian at the very top - are not capable of any long-term thinking.

You know, the Allston project has been one of the projects that approximately take a decade to be realized. So you simply shouldn't make substantial changes to the project - because of mood swings that are likely to disappear in one year - unless you are literally forced to do so.

It is simply wrong for Harvard to abandon its visions and its image as the world's #1 university. What is the recipe of Dr Faust?
If the endowment weren't so enormous, Faust concluded, the university would face a choice: Seek more money from alumni and the federal government, or "do less—less research, less teaching, at a lesser level of quality."
Well, now the endowment is no longer "so enormous" and the government and alumni are not likely to increase their donations during the thinner years: for obvious reasons, the different sources of the money are likely to decrease simultaneously. So Faust seems to be led to the third option. Her plan is to create a smaller Harvard whose quality sucks.

That's a nice plan but not too nice. :-) Imagine that a politician would honestly offer such a vision before the elections. Imagine that in 2008, Obama had openly said that he wanted the U.S. to cease to be a superpower. Everyone has known that under Faust, the quality of Harvard would plummet: some people have just found this development convenient. But so far, no one has been openly saying that this was the actual plan.

If one admits that the strength and quality are no longer important, such a proposition threatens the very brand of Harvard. Consequently, it may impact the magnitude of contributions in the long run. It is a very risky path to take. My recipe would be obvious: continue the life and projects as usual, keep the self-confidence, and get used to the fact that the endowment no longer looks infinite.

This point is a part of a broader discussion about the "stimuli" during the crisis. The U.S. government, with its immense debt, is trying to pour money to many places while the rich subjects such as Harvard are doing everything they can to shrink. This is just wrong. What should actually be happening during such crises is that the people, companies, and nations that are in debt should reduce their spending while those who are in the black numbers should continue to live and stimulate the economy by hiring bricklayers and people in hundreds of other occupations.

And if an institution such as Harvard depends on the identification of its brand with quality, it should try to keep it this way. If it has to fire someone or close a department, it should do it to those non-essential ones for the quality that could have been added when the pockets were full. Genetics is not an example; women's studies are. Needless to say, open letters usually demand the opposite thing, a further replacement of quality scholars by professionally whining colorful people and other victimists.

Among good news for the school, one of the bosses of the anti-Summers jihad, black victimist Lorand Matory (who authored the no-confidence rant, among other things), is leaving it. In 2005, I've had as huge problems with this nasty jerk as Summers himself.

Consider a typical interval of time in between two economic downturns. Some companies and endowments grow, some shrink. Some companies produce great profits, others have to borrow in order to create profits in the future: at least that's what they're promising. But the period in between the two downturns is pretty long and may be viewed as a typical period of a "cycle". And if someone is not able to get rid of his debt during one such period, it seems to mean that he is probably borrowing more than he should.

On the other hand, if someone stays in the black numbers after such a cycle, it means that he can afford to borrow more. The companies and institutions that are capable to stay alive after one cycle are the viable ones and deserve further loans while those whose debt has increased after the cycle deserve fewer loans. Isn't it obvious?

Of course, Harvard isn't really producing anything. But you can imagine that the donations it collects are the "profits" that it generates by working on its name and by making itself look (and, less often, be) important for the society. And it's been doing a much better job in these matters than the U.S. government. The latter is deeply in the red numbers.

It's clear that some additional money pumped into the system may speed up the economy. But who should be spending this money? Where should the money come from? It seems clear to me that they should be spent exactly by those who know what they're doing and why they're doing so, especially those who have some long-term plans that are similar to other plans of theirs that have already turned out to be successful in the past.

It means that the money paid by Harvard to the bricklayers in Allston is a relatively good investment that is likely to bring something in the future while the money poured by the U.S. government to random places that didn't seem to know what to do with the money yesterday is a bad investment of the same amount.

So it should become normal to realize that during a nearly unprecedented recession like the 2008-2009 one, universities should be spending something like 7% of their endowment a year rather than 5%. The endowment is not supposed to be constant - so the fractions computed out of it are not constant, either. They should realize that the current bad mood won't last forever and that the figure is likely to drop below 5% sometime in the future again. Responsible leaders simply can't surrender to some temporary waves of bad mood.

After all, sensible and rational long-term investors must have a long-term strategy, too. They cannot sell stocks when they're already depressed because it's a very stupid strategy: the stocks are more likely to be near the bottom (or may have bottomed up already) and that's the worse possible moment to sell them.

Thursday, June 04, 2009 ... Français/Deutsch/Español/Česky/Japanese/Related posts from blogosphere

The point of E8 in F-theory GUTs

Jonathan Heckman, Alireza Tavanfar, and Cumrun Vafa wrote a 106-page article (PDF) arguing that if one wants to avoid fine-tuning, F-theory highly favors a deeper level of unification than conventional GUT theories, one that starts with the E_8 group, which is familiar to the Telegraph readers as the surfer dude group. :-)

There should be exactly one point in the F-theory compactification where the group gets enhanced to E_8, and then lots of realistic features for phenomenology automatically follow. This new holy grail is described by the following diagram:



The starting, low point of their holy grail unification is an ordinary A_4 = SU(5) group - the canonical minimal choice in field theory. It lives on a real four-dimensional submanifold.

However, if the top quark is supposed to be naturally heavy (at the electroweak scale) while its two upper cousins are light, this SU(5) must get enhanced to E_6 somewhere on a real two-dimensional submanifold. A similar interaction for the bottom quarks implies a D_6 = SO(12) singularity located at another real two-dimensional submanifold.

A hierarchical character of the CKM matrix indicates that the top and bottom Yukawa interactions arise from nearby loci: it makes sense to imagine that they get unified to an E_7 singularity at one point. Finally, a minimal neutrino sector with a mildly hierarchical lepton mixing matrix (PMNS matrix) elevates the requirement for this singular point to carry an E_8 group rather than its E_7 subgroup.

The identification of fermionic mass hierarchies and the unification involving the largest exceptional group sounds like one of the breathtaking results that sometimes ignite scientific revolutions. In field theory, only gauge groups could be unified and the matter could arise in arbitrary representations. String theory unifies gauge groups with the matter - so the flavor imposes new constraints and actually implies a further extension of the gauge symmetry. The full F-theory hidden manifold looks like this:



The SU(5) brane gets enhanced to D6, E6, E7, E8 at special points. It intersects with a Peccei-Quinn brane where SUSY gets broken. The latter also intersects with a nearby 7-brane. There can be additional, "far" 3-branes and 7-branes.

Their scenario avoids many problems of seemingly similar models and is immensely predictive. For example, gravitinos between 10 and 100 MeV dominate dark matter but in their models, they arise from decaying saxions (which are in the 230-1000 GeV range), leading to an acceptable abundance. In another, less likely region of their parameter space, the dark matter is made out of axions.

If their model is correct, it follows that PAMELA, ATIC, FERMI, PPB-BETS, and HESS can be observing neither decaying nor annihilating dark matter. Monodromies and the "SU(5)GUT x SU(5)transverse" subgroup of E_8 play a very important role in their analysis.

Scenarios with both Majorana and Dirac neutrino masses are discussed. In all but one Dirac scenarios, string theory determines that the minimal representations for the SUSY breaking messenger fields are 10+10* (pretty much the only new fields that go beyond minimal SUSY GUT) which seem "more complex" than the seemingly minimal choice 5+5* according to field theory combined with naive numerology. A 10+10* pair transforms like 5 or 5* under the transverse SU(5) and behaves like three times a 5+5* pair.

Note that the gradual enhancement of the group to E_8 at a special point is the opposite behavior than what you could see in the picture of intersecting heterotic fivebranes where the E_8 group occurred at generic points of the bulk and it was broken to subgroups at submanifolds of an increasing codimension.

RSS MSU: 0.11 °C month-on-month cooling

RSS MSU have released their May 2009 data. The global temperature anomaly has dropped from 0.202 °C in April to 0.09 °C in May. This cooling trend, if (unreasonably) extrapolated to one century, gives 134.4 °C of cooling per century. ;-)

So the world was just less than tenth a degree warmer than the "normal".

This rapid cooling is somewhat unlikely to continue in the coming months because the ENSO index is approaching the El Nino threshold while the solar activity (SC24) starts to show signs of a revival.

The May 2009 RSS MSU temperature anomaly for the mid troposphere was actually negative, -0.028 °C, for the first time in this year (but it was negative in 8 months of 2008).

By the way, if you wonder what has brought down Air France 447, it was apparently global warming - no kidding.

Tuesday, June 02, 2009 ... Français/Deutsch/Español/Česky/Japanese/Related posts from blogosphere

Richard Lindzen on climate sensitivity and sensibilities

This is the talk that Dr Richard Lindzen (MIT) just gave in the DC, on the Third International Conference on Climate Change (ICCC 2009b):



Larger transparencies are here (click). Full screen.

Lindzen begins with some sociology. Alarmist papers are spreading because papers in all disciplines that are related to the alarm get a preferential treatment and are supported, even before solid or relevant results are found.

Low-quality scientific work and the low-quality scientists themselves are not being filtered out because they know how to use the fad and publish lousy papers that will be promoted by the environmental ideologues, anyway. That's called the "opportunism of the weak".

He switches to the science and discusses how the feedback coefficient "f" is determined. Recall that the warming is determined by

Delta T = Delta T0 / (1-f)
where Delta T_0 is the bare warming without feedbacks. For a negative "f", the effect is weakened by the feedbacks.

For a positive "f", between 0 and 1, the effect is strengthened, and that's what the people around the IPCC uncritically believe to happen.

If "f" were greater than one, the positive feedback would be strong enough to cause an instability: the negative warming that you would naively get from the formula would describe the lower temperature in the past, rather than in the future, from which the past and future, exponentially escalating warming began.

Such an instability is physically excluded because the Earth hasn't run out of control at least for 4.5 billion years.

Lindzen shows that all the current models have a positive "f", pretty close to "1", morally incorporated in them, but the the tests depend on "f" so slowly (due to noise that can't be eliminated) that it was impossible to increase the accuracy of "f" (by fitting) visibly in the last 30 years.

One of the key reasons why this attempted "improvement" of the models has led nowhere is that the actual "f" in the real world is close to "-1", halving the bare value of the warming (around 0.5 °C per CO2 doubling, as his computations suggest). According to Lindzen, that can be determined from direct observations of the long-wave (thermal) and short-wave (visible) radiation.

There is a discernible gap - one in the sensitivity values - between the fashionable models and the scientific reality. This gap is caused by a similar gap between the proper scientific reasoning where right figures are being chosen by cruel cold scientific tests and the collective reasoning of the contemporary climatological community controlled by triage, opportunism of the weak, and free riding where the key criterion is the consistency with the idiotic activists' sensibilities.

Everyone is sure that glass is liquid, too.

Via Anthony Watts and The Heritage Foundation.

France loves Klaus's book

The French language became the tenth language into which Václav Klaus's book, "Blue Planet in Green Shackles" ("Planète bleue en péril vert"), was translated.

And somewhat surprisingly, France really loves his explanation why global warming is the greatest hoax ever perpetrated on the French people.

Uplifting IIB orientifold models to F-theory

Today, there are also two independent papers explaining the procedure to "uplift" orientifold vacua of type IIB string theory to F-theory, an Austrian one and a German one (according to the majority's affiliation).

Andres Collinucci:
  New F-theory lifts II: Permutation orientifolds and enhanced singularities (AT)

Ralph Blumenhagen, Thomas W. Grimm, Benjamin Jurke, Timo Weigand:
  F-theory uplifts and GUTs (DE)
What do I mean by uplifts?



Superstring theory used to be thought of as a theory that requires 9+1 dimensions of spacetime: that's what you need to cancel the conformal anomaly (or equivalent problems) on the stringy worldsheet, assuming that all degrees of freedom on the worldsheet are geometric and parameterize an embedding into a supersymmetric spacetime.

However, this condition is only relevant when strings are good degrees of freedom. At strong coupling, strings are no longer the only fundamental degrees of freedom because they create new, previously composite objects that may become lighter and more "fundamental" than the strings themselves, and the counting of the dimension may be modified, too.

So it was realized by Witten in 1995 that type IIA string theory in 10 dimensions develops a new, 11th dimension, when the coupling constant "g" increases. When it goes to infinity, you end up with M-theory on an 11-dimensional spacetime: one of the dimensions is circular but large, so local physics is clearly 11-dimensional.

M-theory stands for Mother, Mystery, Magic, Membrane, Matrix, Male-loving, or upside-down W for Witten, according to your choice. This theory exists in an 11-dimensional spacetime in the same sense in which the old superstring theories require a 10-dimensional spacetime. But you see that by construction, this M-theory is a part of the same theory as type IIA string theory.

Similarly, type IIB string theory can also be tuned to strong coupling. Somewhat surprisingly, something else happens. The infinite coupling limit is still 10-dimensional. By S-duality, you return back to the same type IIB string theory. However, there is also a Ramond-Ramond axion (a new scalar field) and together with the coupling constant (the exponentiated dilaton), they make up a complex coupling constant whose various values are equivalent, by the SL(2,Z) S-duality.

This S-duality has a geometric explanation assuming that type IIB string theory is visualized as a new theory with two additional dimensions compactified on a two-torus: the SL(2,Z) equivalence of the dilaton-axion values comes from simple large diffeomorphisms of the two-torus.

This new, auxiliary theory is called F-theory. Unlike the case of M-theory, the two new dimensions can't be made infinite - at least no one knows how to do so today. They're kind of different than the remaining ten dimensions. But you should imagine that their being small is the only new condition that distinguishes them.

F-theory stands for Father, Fantasy, Fascination, Female-loving, Fibermania, vaFa, or Fafa, according to your choice. It has 12 dimensions in total, although their signature is kind of subtle because of the infinitesimal character of the two new dimensions. You should imagine that the spacetime is 10+2-dimensions whenever you count spinorial degrees of freedom but 11+1-dimensional if you want to understand the SL(2,Z) duality.

You may see that the mother, M-theory, and the father, F-theory, are kind of complementary as the master theories. F-theory has a higher number of dimensions (twelve) but they're not quite real because they have to stay infinitesimal, spanning a toroidal fiber. On the other hand, M-theory only has eleven dimensions but they are very real and can be made large.

While M-theory was thought to be the source of all string theories, today we view M-theory and F-theory as two different descriptions of the same huge theory with many limits. Ten years ago, people wanted to use the term "M-theory" for this huge theory replacing "many string theories" studied by string theorists but instead, the term "string theory" was redefined to denote this richer theory unifying all the approaches and limits (even though this is no longer a theory of strings only).

Parent theories reduce the number of independent objects

At any rate, M-theory and F-theory are two descriptions with a very high number of dimensions which means that they're very geometric: pretty much all degrees of freedom are as geometric as possible in them. There is almost no additional information, or junk, added in the form of new matter fields and particles. Consequently, the spectrum of new special localized objects and fields that "live" in these theories is much smaller than in perturbative superstring theories.

In type II string theories, you can have fundamental strings and Dp-branes where "p" is any even (type IIA) or odd (type IIB) number. For each "p", the object is kind of different, although the stringy treatment of all of them is analogous. In M-theory, only M2-branes and M5-branes exist as localized charged objects not described by pure geometry: they carry electric and magnetic charges under the three-form field C_{ABC}.

D0-branes in type IIA are interpreted as units of momenta (e.g. of gravitons) in the circular direction of M-theory. Unwrapped M2-branes are D2-branes in type IIA while M2-branes wrapped on the circle are the fundamental strings. Unwrapped M5-branes become NS5-branes while the wrapped ones are the D4-branes of type IIA. D6-branes of type IIA string theory become Kaluza-Klein monopoles, purely geometric manifolds whose metric can be described by a proper "translation" of the gauge field of a magnetic monopole into the language of the Kaluza-Klein U(1) gauge symmetry from a circular dimension. D8-branes have such a low co-dimension that they prevent you from getting to the infinite coupling unless their charge is locally cancelled.

Similarly, F-theory only contains F2-branes and self-dual F6-branes, besides curved geometries. F2-branes can be compactified on one of the circles of the toroidal fiber to give you fundamental strings or D1-branes. When wrapped on the same circles, F6-branes give you NS5-branes or D5-branes, respectively. The F2-branes are electric sources of a four-form field strength which is eight-dimensionally self-dual in supersymmetric compactifications on eight-manifolds. Its 12-dimensional Hodge dual is the eight-form field strength excited by the F6-branes. D3-branes and D7-branes are geometrized; the latter become complex co-dimension one singularities, i.e. singular toroidal fibers classified by Kodaira.

M-theory and F-theory are more "efficient" in the spectrum of elementary objects they contain than perturbative string theory but it's still more than one. If you're an ambitious visionary, you may try to find an asexual ancestor of both M-theory and F-theory, a trilobite theory. But be ready that it must be very different in certain aspects than the conventional theories that men have been able to understand so far.

Phenomenology with parent theories

Perturbative string theory is arguably more well-defined because things can be calculated from a very robust worldsheet conformal field theory, although only in perturbative expansions in the string coupling (and their "transperturbative" extensions where you derive and add new objects whose properties can again be calculated perturbatively). But the beauty and unifying power of the M-theory and F-theory pictures above should have convinced you that these parent descriptions have other virtues.

Realistic 3+1-dimensional vacua with four supercharges (the so-called "N=1" supersymmetry in d=4 which may be broken to "N=0") can be obtained by compactifying M-theory on a seven-dimensional manifold with the G2 holonomy (an exceptional group which is a subgroup of SO(7)). On the other hand, F-theory can produce them if you compactify it on an eight-dimensional Calabi-Yau four-fold ("four" is the complex dimension).

For example, the KKLT landscape of the proverbial 10^{500} vacua can be visualized as a set of F-theory compactifications.

Now, the paper

In the past, people have constructed many realistic compactifications of the 10-dimensional type IIB string theory. They include some (3+1-dimensional) spacetime-filling D3-branes as well as spacetime-filling D7-branes wrapped on a four-cycle in the six-dimensional hidden manifold.

It turned out that sensible vacua have to include orientifold planes, too. They're the so-called O3- and O7-planes.

As hinted above, every vacuum in type IIB string theory can be rewritten as a background in the 12-dimensional F-theory. That's true for the phenomenological theories, too. In fact, F-theory allows you to naturally construct many more related vacua: the toroidal fibers are only required to come to themselves up to an SL(2,Z) reshuffling of their cycles, so there can be nontrivial monodromies in the type IIB description that would otherwise be hard to talk about.

Strategies to uplift

The Austrian and the German paper use somewhat different but related strategies to uplift, i.e. translate to the higher-dimensional dictionary, the type II string vacua to F-theory. The "Austrian" paper by Collinucci accepts that there can be O3-planes and O7-planes and interprets their mirror operations as permutations. The whole paper is constructed as a generalization of the basic toy model which is the orientifold
( P1 x P1 ) / Z2 = P2
Unfortunately, the author omits the parentheses but he does mean the permutation of the two projective spaces P^1, which are nothing else than ordinary two-dimensional spheres in the terminology of complex geometry. Some arguments are needed to see that the orientifold is actually equivalent to the higher-dimensional "P^2" projective space, a real-four-dimensional manifold that is somewhat more complicated for "real physicists" who are not professionals in algebraic geometry than the morally similar four-sphere. ;-)

In a more general case, the author chooses some homogeneous coordinates and distinguishes two actions that the orientifold map can do. In either case, he's able to reduce the behavior to the toy model. At any rate, he is led to the Weierstrass models, "y^2 = x^3 + x f z^4 + g z^6" (a convenient description of a toroidal fiber, parameterized by the constrained "x,y", as a function of a base space that includes "z"), and constructs the corresponding four-fold in this way.

The German paper is doing a similar thing without introducing the prototype in the first place. They first work out the action on the base space and then they construct the Weierstrass model.

So if you consider F-theory to be more fundamental than type IIB string theory, you have a method to construct the eight-dimensional manifolds ready to be used in F-theory for every realistic type IIB compactification. As an important example, the Austrian paper looks at a recent type IIB GUT model with three generations.

Supergravity can't be the whole story

(Or at least, it can't produce the full black hole entropy)

Today, there is a kind of Big Tuesday on hep-th. And I am not the only one who believes that the first three hep-th papers on the arXiv are the three most interesting papers. Greetings to SlavaM. ;-)

This triumvirate includes two F-theory uplift papers - that were probably published on the same day by an accident (although the authors have obviously communicated with each other) - and one paper comparing SUGRA-calculated black hole entropies with the full quantum gravity result.

We will begin with the latter:

Jan de Boer & 3 co-authors: A bound on the entropy of supergravity
To appreciate what they're doing, we must begin with some history.

Black holes with explained microscopic entropies

In 1974, Stephen Hawking has figured out that black holes were not quite black.

Because the particles can't be quite confined inside the black hole walls (recall quantum tunneling) or because different Hamiltonian-like generators have different ground states (related by the Bogoliubov transformation) or because the virtual pair production may become real near the event horizon or because superluminal trajectories do contribute to the path integral, he was able to show that the particles leaving the black hole match a black body curve with the temperature determined by the "gravitational acceleration" at the event horizon, using classical terms - a quantity that is inversely proportional to the black hole radius.

Max Planck was able to deduce the spectrum emitted by all black bodies 100+ years ago - so it shouldn't be shocking that a black hole is a black body, too, especially after John Wheeler gave it the nice name. ;-)



Completely off-topic video clip by Lucie Vondráčková.

This conclusion only depended on long-distance physics of gravity, i.e. on its semiclassical approximation. However, if something has a temperature, the equations "E=T.dS" and "E=mc^2" can be applied to find out that the black hole also has a nonzero entropy. Hawking calculated it by these "indirect" thermodynamic tricks and found out that the entropy was proportional to the area of the event horizon (in "G=1" Planck units, over four), which confirmed a prophecy by Jacob Bekenstein who was able to guess the right basic dictionary between the geometry of black holes and thermodynamics before any semiclassical calculation was made.

However, thermodynamics is not really "fundamental". Its conclusions must be derivable from statistical physics. More concretely, the entropy should arise as the logarithm of the number of quantum microstates (or the volume of a phase space, if you use a classical approximation). Black holes have the maximum entropy among all localized (or bound) objects of a fixed mass but where does the huge number of microstates come from?

For 20 years, all known calculations that led to the right result were heuristic, vague, and unreliable. People had to wait until January 1996 when Strominger and Vafa published their groundbreaking calculation of the microstates of a black hole in 4+1 (large) dimensions, embedded into type IIB string theory where the supersymmetric black hole (that is macroscopic and qualitatively analogous to the four-dimensional Schwarzschild black holes) can be constructed out of many D5-branes, D1-branes, and some units of momenta.

Needless to say, their completely independent and geometrically "non-manifest" calculation led to the very same result as the Hawking-Bekenstein geometric calculation. String theory passed this very difficult test. The work of Strominger and Vafa was followed by 1,300+ papers, many of which have verified more complicated black holes (and black rings), near-extremal ones, non-extremal ones, higher-order corrections to the entropy (that can be mapped to Wald's formula in supergravity or its generalizations), and lots of other things. Whenever there was a well-defined test, string theory confirmed the geometric picture.

Maldacena-Strominger-Witten black holes

Today, the list of successes contains many four-dimensional black holes, including the nearly extremal Kerr black holes observed in the telescopes. But it took some time before people could generalize the Strominger-Vafa methods to other objects in the "upper" stringy landscape. The first successful black hole test of a hole localized in 3+1 large spacetime dimensions was published by Maldacena, Strominger, and Witten (MSW) in 1997, a few weeks before Maldacena's epochal discovery of the AdS holography.

MSW considered a black holes in type IIA string theory on a Calabi-Yau three-fold, the same manifold that is used in the realistic heterotic compactifications. Nice and large black holes are obtained if you put D0-branes on the manifold and wrap some D4-branes on some four-cycles in the six-manifold.

As they already have known from an M-theoretical pioneering insight by Witten, this configuration may also be described as M-theory on a circle times a Calabi-Yau manifold. The D4-branes become M5-branes wrapped on the circle (and the four-cycles) while the D0-branes become units of momenta along the circle. So the black hole is made out of some M5-branes with some stuff running on them.

M5-branes wrapped on the four-cycles give you points - but the circle remains macroscopic in the near-horizon description. Consequently, there exists a holographic description in terms of a string (M5-brane minus four dimensions) wrapped on a circle. The AdS3 near-horizon geometry of this string has a dual, holographic, description in terms of a conformal field theory, CFT2.

Because of the chronological subtlety mentioned above, the MSW paper actually couldn't use the proper AdS/CFT terminology: it appeared before this revolution! Still, it contained pretty much all the relevant formulae. And as expected, the microstates in the CFT2 exactly come in the right number to match the entropy of the four-dimensional black hole.

String theorists like to use the Calabi-Yau manifolds for many other reasons so this new kind of a black hole, technically distinct from the Strominger-Vafa black hole, became popular, too.

Fuzzballs and LLM

But you could still prefer to count the microstates in some variables of gravity or supergravity, instead of some a priori non-geometric (or at least non-back-reacting) branes in string theory. Is it possible? Well, the most geometric methods to count microstates in string theory are known as "bubbles in AdS space" (LLM) or "fuzzballs" (Samir Mathur).

The main idea is actually the same in both cases (and in many other backgrounds): see a modern review of fuzzballs. The microstates are visualized as some smooth configurations in supergravity. The smoothness means that there is no singularity, no event horizon, and therefore no entropy: they're entropy-less. But there are many of them and this large number may account for the entropy. The "empty" black hole interior only emerges if you average over many of these states.

LLM were able to create nice smooth solutions out of a two-dimensional map with arbitrary black and white spots: near the "base" of the map, the geometry converges to a "four-ball times three-sphere" or "three-sphere times four-ball", depending on the (non)color (black or white): both of these geometries are regular. Samir Mathur was able to imprint the information about any shape of a string into a smooth supergravity solution. His solution generated in this way contains some singularities but if you work a little bit, you may check that all of them are just coordinate singularities, just like in the LLM case.

But those successes mostly applied to black holes with a very high number of supercharges - as much as 16 - and these black holes cannot have a macroscopic area of the event horizon as long as you stick to Einstein's equations without corrections. Can the construction be generalized to more realistic black holes with macroscopic horizon areas? Are their microstates still encoded in the supergravity degrees of freedom?

The paper today brings a very powerful body of evidence that the answer is No. The massive states of string/M-theory become essential for more realistic black holes.

SUGRA only contains some states

The maximum N=8 supergravity in four dimensions (with 32 supercharges) was a nice unifying idea in the late 1970s and early 1980s that created the right mood for the first superstring revolution: superstrings extend the low-energy physics of supergravity to arbitrarily high center-of-mass energies.

Despite its beauties, the N=8 supergravity was a sick theory. Its supersymmetry could erase some infinities but it also made the theory too unrealistic, unable to contain the "ugly" particle species that we know from observations and that are compatible at most with N=1 supersymmetry. If one broke SUSY, the finiteness went away. Moreover, it was believed that even with those 32 supercharges, the theory would be non-renormalizable: the lethal divergences would just appear at a higher number of loops.

In the recent years, an increasing body of evidence suggests that the theory is actually finite to all orders of perturbation theory. However, it is also obvious that this consistency is not extended non-perturbatively. We have explained, e.g. in Two roads from N=8 SUGRA to string theory or Dixon's puzzles about N=8 SUGRA, that SUGRA must therefore be viewed as a low-energy launching pad for string theory. Whatever basic problem of SUGRA you will try to solve (while keeping its attracting features) will lead you to superstring theory.

The today's mostly Dutch paper (either by ethnicity, or by affiliation of the authors) escalates these arguments about the incompleteness of SUGRA to the context of black hole entropy counting. Is supergravity able to account for all degrees of freedom of the black holes? Is the question well-defined at all?

A strong argument that it is well-defined is that the authors actually present not one but two SUGRA calculations of the black hole entropy. They look pretty different from each other. Recall that they're essentially looking at the MSW black hole whose Bekenstein-Hawking thermodynamic (macroscopic) entropy was previously correctly matched with the full, stringy calculation involving CFTs.

The Dutchmen want to calculate the microscopic entropy, but only its supergravity part, and they do so in two ways:
  1. One of them counts states (or phase space) of multi-centered solutions with D0-branes attached to D6-brane and anti-D6-brane pairs. The brane-anti-brane pair may be called a "dipole" and the D0-branes add a "halo" to it.
  2. The other counts supergravitational excitations of the near-horizon AdS3 geometry.
You may expect what I am going to say: these two a priori very different computations match. That's a pretty strong circumstantial evidence supporting the opinion that the "supergravity part of the entropy" is a pretty well-defined notion, at least at the leading order, and that either of these two calculations gives them its magnitude.

And needless to say, this entropy is smaller than the full back hole entropy that was previous calculated either by the Bekenstein-Hawking thermodynamic tricks, or from the full stringy near-horizon CFT by Cardy's formula: the summarized formulae are added in the appendix of this blog article. So supergravity doesn't account for all the entropy of the black holes with large event horizons. There may still exist a calculation that is morally analogous to supergravity and includes all the essential higher-energetic string-theoretical stuff. But this calculation simply can't be "just supergravity".

I am inclined to believe that some construction of the microstates or fuzzballs (and these words are irritating mostly because several younger workers in the field assign them with slightly incorrect interpretations, even though they are pretty familiar with the technology) will exist for the black holes with many charges and large event horizons - but they will have excited "stringy" states, not just the massless (supergravity) states. Somebody should construct them, with some string field theory, added states of branes, or something else. For example, the Rindler space in string theory or M-theory could actually have a conceptually simple description in terms of smooth solutions that involve SUGRA plus something else.

And that's the memo.

Appendix: formulae for the entropy

The specific MSW-like black hole they study may be obtained from "q0" D0-branes and "p" D4-branes wrapped on a four-cycle. It matters what cycle you're considering: this information is encoded in the homology "p_A", but only the triple self-intersection of the D4-branes will influence the entropy. This triple intersection determines the central charge of the CFT,
c = dABC pA pB pC = 6I.
So "I" stands for the triple self-intersection divided by six.

If "q0" is negative and if its absolute value is much greater than "I", which is already much greater than one, the full stringy result for the entropy is
S = 2 pi (-q0)1/2 I1/2
which agrees with the Bekenstein-Hawking entropy when translated to the "astrophysical" variables. In the same limit, their new SUGRA calculation gives
S = [3/8 zeta(3)]1/3 (-q0)1/3 I1/3
You see that exponents of both "q0" and "I" were reduced. They actually have a more accurate formula that also holds when "I" and "q0" are comparable, and my "much greater than" inequality may be replaced by a finer "ordinary" inequality. They also have found another formula valid when "q0" is rather close to "I/4". In that regime, the entropy gets even smaller because the power of "I" is replaced by the same power of a (smaller, in this regime) "N" which is defined as the difference "I/4 - q0".

These formulae and limits are derived in two "supergravity only" ways and they're smaller than the Bekenstein-Hawking = stringy result, showing that supergravity doesn't contain all the degrees of freedom (unless you believe that Bekenstein, Hawking, string theorists, mathematics, and Nature are victims of halucinations of seeing the same number of states that don't exist haha: if you believe so, you will be permanently banned once you repeat this belief in the comments).

Hartle and Srednicki on xerographic distribution

Hartle and Srednicki wrote another interesting, short article explaining the correct reasoning that should be used instead of the flawed reasoning based on Boltzmann Brains and similar ghosts:

Science in a very large Universe (PDF)
Their main point is that what we're testing are not just physical theories (with their initial conditions for the whole system etc.) but physical theories (including the initial conditions) plus the answer to the questions:
Who are we? Where are we? Where have we come from?
Answers to these questions are unlikely to ever become a part of scientific theories because scientific theories objectively deal with the "whole systems" and they don't care "who are we".

In slightly more technical terms, we must always make assumptions about our location within the larger system (usually a very large universe). This information is usually not known "absolutely", so we must only determine it in terms of some "xerographic distribution".

What we're testing by experiments and the scientific process are therefore not just theories: we're testing the pairs
(theory T, xerographic distribution xi).
The main problem of the anthropic and the Boltzmann brain people is that they don't understand that "xi" itself is subject to experimental tests and refinements. Instead, they think that the anthropic anti-God has brought them a revelation (a dogma) what "xi" must forever be. And they think that the right distribution is the uniform measure, "xi=1/N" for each copy of the observed data: there are "N" of them.

Once again, Hartle and Srednicki explain that it's not the only possible assumption - in fact, in normal science, we almost always make other assumptions, especially if we're looking for predictive theories (that are likely to create "sharp peaks" for our future expectations of quantities). And the "typical" assumptions are not even well-defined because "N" is infinite, and additional assumptions about the measures at these infinite sets have to be made. That's what all the weird discussions about the details of distributive angels on the tip of a needle in eternal inflation are all about.

I essentially agree with everything they write but there is a point I would say differently. We surely intuitively want to look for predictive theories. But the predictivity of a theory is independent of its validity, and whenever it's possible to focus on arguments about the validity (or probability of validity) of a theory, it should be favored over arguments based on predictivity.

And theories that apparently lack predictivity - e.g. the Boltzmann Brain hypothesis - usually have a problem with the validity, too. They predict that it is very unlikely that the future observations will exhibit some order. Every time we observe something that makes sense, these theories become less likely relatively to theories involving order. I believe that the conclusions that can be made after we make observations - like the arguments from the previous sentence - should be enough to do science.

In principle, we don't need the a priori preference for theories that are likely to generate peaked predictions for the future, before we actually make these tests. Such peaked predictions are still likely to be proven wrong which is worse than to make unpeaked predictions. ;-)

The Boltzmann Brain hypotheses should already be expo-exponentially suppressed relatively to sane hypotheses. Since the people began to think about the world, they have made so many observations of the ordered real world that had to look like miracles from the Boltzmann Brain viewpoint that whatever the Boltzmann Brain prior were, they were already suppressed essentially to zero.
Needless to say, I agree that we are looking for predictive, testable, simple, beautiful, precisely formulable mathematically, economical in their assumptions, comprehensive, unifying, explanatory theories.
(I actually mildly disagree that we should be looking for "theories accessible to current intuition" because it sounds like a discrimination against conceptual breakthroughs and paradigm shifts such as quantum mechanics.) But many of these favored adjectives can actually be demystified and converted to the universal, key adjective - that these theories are more likely to be valid, by a certain rational argument based on inference.

So while I agree with all of their main messages, I think that the situation is somewhat less mysterious than they paint it.

And that's the memo.

Physics World cracks the pot

Physics World that used to be one of the last semi-popular journals that haven't been overrun by crackpots has joined the new "mainstream". Crackpot Lee Smolin wrote a rant called The unique universe that tries to fight not only against the analyses of the most general backgrounds that follow from the same known principles of physics, but also against the emergent character of spacetime.

The emergent character of space in quantum gravity has been established and the emergent nature of time, while supported by a much weaker set of well-defined equations, must morally be true as well, by the Lorentz symmetry that relates space and time. At any rate, the emergent time is one of the likely future revolutions. Smolin's desire to kill this future research program before it can actually begin shows that he is a very narrow-minded, destructive pseudo-intellectual with an extremely lousy physics intuition.

Once again, he also tries to resell his scientifically thoroughly falsified childish theory of fucking and mutating universes. These anti-selection mechanisms promoting pseudoscience and pseudo-scientists despite all the evidence spread from the media to realms that are ever closer to professional science. Physics World is already too serious a point to be hijacked by these morons.

Smolin also repeats his meme that the laws of physics can't hold forever. In his new version of solipsism, he insists that the laws of physics shouldn't hold before we're here - they should be as character-less and flexible as jellyfish kibitzers like himself. They should "only hold once". ;-)

So he not only wants to add ill-defined laws to science; he wants to eliminate all well-defined, objective, fixed laws. Given the fact that this can't possibly mean anything rational, I can only conclude that he's a nutcase.

Yellow cab drivers love physics; feminist physicists hate it

Sabine Hossenfelder wrote a very revealing story about her discussion with a yellow cab driver. He was absolutely thrilled by physics and string theory: she just hates it. This is not the first time I learned about it: she sent me quite a lot of mail explaining how she hated theoretical physics.

This is the result of the "politically correct" process of filling science with mediocre people who have no aptitude to study it and no love for it - they end up being unhappy themselves, and they're doing everything they can to spread the vitriol around and to discourage other scientists, by emitting tons of trash about their troubles with physics. I just hate them. And I hate all the people who have pushed people like Ms Hossenfelder to the physics community. They're my enemies.