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Antarctica is a climate denier, too

Absolute record high in sea ice area improved by a few percent

These days, the climate alarmist media are full of tirades against the penguins.

Children should only be allowed to play with the polar bears and not the penguins, we often read, because penguins are evil conservatives, anti-Gore and anti-Stalinist mavericks and contrarians paid by the Koch brothers and the dirty Big Oil. Why did the climate alarmist whackos begin to hate these cute animals (and even erase Linux from their hard disks and stop rooting for the ice-hockey team in Pittsburgh)?

If you open the Cryosphere Today and especially a graph of the absolute Southern Hemisphere sea ice area, a graph from the places where the penguins live, you will see that these days, the sea ice area is surpassing the all-time record high. Well, "all-time" only means the recent 35 years but this period of time is still longer than most people's memory.

It's apparently politically incorrect for ice to accumulate and to say "f*ck you, you f*cked up alarmist aßes". A well-behaved ice with civil awareness should melt away and scream "help to save the planet and introduce a new tax and new bans!".

The winter is just ending on the Southern Hemisphere and it's the season when the sea ice area typically reaches its maximum value in the year.

The Southern Hemisphere sea ice area surpassed 16.7 million squared kilometers these days, beating the previous all-time record below 16.5 million squared kilometers. Relatively to the annual maximum 5 years ago, the increase is 10%, so you may use the IPCC methods – exactly the same methods that they are using for the Arctic – to conclude that the oceans around the Antarctica had to be ice-free for the whole year 50 years ago! ;-)

There are tons of stories about the new record high and virtually all stories written in the English language mention the "global warming" teaching for the retarded citizens. It's deeply embarrassing for the whole Anglo-Saxon world. You find titles like

Antarctica Sets New Sea Ice Record Despite Rising Global Temperature.
Oh, really? Global temperatures are rising? The Cryosphere Today graph is only available in the "satellite era" from the late 1970s. It's just 35 years long. Because the trend of the global mean temperature has been tiny and negative in the last 18 years and 18 is more than one-half of 35, you may notice that the global temperature wasn't rising in most of the satellite record.

These weeks, the global mean temperature is dropping like a stone, too. It's because the temperature variations are stronger over the lands than the oceans and because the lands i.e. continents mostly reside on the Northern Hemisphere, the global mean temperature oscillates in a way that is correlated with the temperatures on the Northern Hemisphere. The summer is just ending over here and the temperatures are generally decreasing so be sure that the global mean temperature is doing the same thing.

The confrontation about the "global warming" propaganda is often reduced to the problem of attribution. Who has caused the global warming? People are often told that all the experts must agree about the very existence of something that could be called "global warming". The reality is that there's been no positive trend in the global mean temperature for 18 years – it's a longer time than the age of some of the TRF readers – so there is nothing to attribute. But the climate change psychopaths continue to talk about the "global warming" as if it were taking place every year, all the time, and use this wrong assumption as the cause of their additional speculations or excuses.

Global warming couldn't have caused anything in the 2nd half of the satellite record of the Antarctic sea ice simply because this global warming didn't exist.

Some climate change cranks are more psychopathological than others. For example, Nude Socialist flatly informs us that
Record sea ice around Antarctica due to global warming.
Wow. These imbeciles not only fail to see the discrepancy – melting of both polar caps was predicted pretty much in all the climate hysterical literature – and they fail to exploit the opportunity to fix some of the most self-evident delusions and abandon some of the most clearly falsified theories. They have the arrogance to use this observation as an argument for their delusions.

There are lots of detailed differences between the Arctic and the Antarctica. There is an ocean in the former region but a continent in the latter region. This difference has many additional consequences. The Antarctica is more "isolated" from the global dynamics, and so on. However, there simply exists no coherent theory that would allow one to use the advancing ice in the Southern Hemisphere to strengthen the case for the climate panic.

Many of the articles say things like
The increase in southern ice was linked to intensified wind pace and increased fresh water from land ice in Antarctica.
But this is just a random excuse. Such "simple explanations" which can only be said a posteriori – but can never used to actually predict anything – are similar to many articles about the stock market. You know, the stock market went up yesterday, or went down, so some of the financial outlets write articles like
Stocks up [down] as [despite] (something happened)
which implicitly say that the "(something happened)" event must be either the ultimate (or overwhelming) explanation of the change of the stock prices, or it's really shocking if the change of the stock price is anticorrelated with the change naively expected from "(something happened)". In reality, the actual explanation is pretty much unknown in all cases. The changes of the stock prices usually have hundreds of causes – including important causes that remain completely unknown to the public – and pure chance plays a big role, too.

From the policy viewpoint, what's more important than the existence of a well-defined cause is that we can't predict it – we may only invent these excuses after we are told what actually happened. For this reason, we also can't predict things like whether the Antarctic or Arctic ice in 2050 will show higher or lower areas than today. A crook may invent lots of excuses and say that the dynamics always confirms his or her previous proclamations but only a gullible moron will fail to notice that the crook is cheating and there is really no predictive substance.

So please, let the ice on both hemispheres do whatever it wants to do or is destined to do and stop politicizing this dynamics. Neither the increase nor the decrease of the Arctic or Antarctic ice is a justification for the introduction of new taxes or new bans and everyone who tries to claim something else and get power or money along the way should spend her life in prison.

And that's the memo.

Autumn only starts on September 23rd (at 04:29 Pilsner Summer Time) but the season is already coming:

Ivan Mládek: The most beautiful season is apparently autumn.
(See the full-fledged vocal version.)

The most beautiful season is apparently the autumn
when my sweetheart is shoveling the leaves.
I think that what's she's doing is certainly right:
the garden gets cleaner when it is shoveled regularly.

The most beautiful season is apparently the autumn
when she is planting the rhododendrons.
But it's so cool
when she throws soil behind her back
as an experienced mole.

The claim that my darling shows aesthetic movements when she works
(yowwy youwy youwy / doova doova doova)
can't be disputed even by a P.E. instructor at all
(yowwy youwy youwy / doova doova doova).

The most beautiful season is apparently the autumn
when I see my love
as she is fertilizing a seedbed of chives by the Thomas Powder [a phosphate fertilizer with mangan, boron etc. obtained from ore processing] from a large bag.

The claim that my darling shows aesthetic movements when she works
(yowwy youwy youwy / doova doova doova)
can't be disputed even by a P.E. instructor at all
(yowwy youwy youwy / doova doova doova).

The most beautiful season is apparently the autumn
when I, sitting on the doorstep, am holding my sweetheart's thumbs.
But my thumbs are already painful
so I will go somewhere where will pour something for me.
I will probably spend some time over there, my darling.

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snail feedback (18) :

reader physicsnut said...

Some alarmist on Bill Moyers yesterday said that we are "twenty years away from catastrophe".
They will be making a mess in NYC over the weekend.
Already sounds like the sixties 'days of rage'

reader Luboš Motl said...

There is also some new climate summit in NYC - the march is inspired by the summit right afterwards. So there are thousands of articles claiming that the summit is important even though it's not:

Willie Soon and Lord Monckton wrote a text for the Washington Times where they urge the folks to stop organizing similar summits. Wise words but I expect they won't hear them.

reader Uncle Al said...

The newly overfreezing Antarctic and Arctic are diagnostic of Klimate Kaos because it is new ice ! New ice Officially has (more studies are needed) a different temperature or latent enthalpy of phase transition because it is not like Enviro-whiner scrumptious old ice.

I put messages in bottles into the ocean (dropped by proxy). Ice pressure ridges will crush my bottles rather than their christening Bouvet Island or shtupping a seabird sloppily landing in the Orkneys. I am making personal sacrifices to falsify Klimate Kaos.

reader ny-ktagn said...

OF just met Nina Arkani while interviewing a girl. Exciting times :) :) :):) .hehehehehehe

reader ny-ktagn said...

Nima Arkani. Hehe, was holding interviews. Even talked with him in English! Ask him he can attest I speak English. He said he will say I do, if asked.

reader Svik said...

Music is nice. But the vocals should go down an octave. Some harminocs would be nice for t physics guys.

reader ny-ktahn said...

There is a climate run block party in NYC. I got a flier today with promises of free beers and pizzas YAY :P . Always up for that.

reader Gordon said...

"...curiouser and curiouser"

reader Nancy said...

There is some logic but hard to follow

reader Luboš Motl said...

Honza U. sent me a link to this wonderful site with 20 spurious correlations:

The pairs are almost comical by their being unrelated, and the high degree of correlation is often amazing. I guess that they were looked for by computers, automatically.

reader quickcomment said...

You're simply wrong and you're doing "dis-informatiom"
A physicist should stop leveraging on blind statistics and return to her/his core competence in direct-experiments for a theory verification

reader quickcomment said...

And you're loosing your bet against greenhouse too...
Fortunately your disinformed opinions will remain ignored by any serious decision making. Continue deleting comments instead, you're not able to reply in a reasonable way

reader Luboš Motl said...

Not so dear, incoherent anonymous crackpot,

the word "information" is spelled and pronounced with an "N", not "M", at the end. More importantly, *every* experimental verification of a scientific theory has to do with some statistics because experiments can't ever be 100% accurate and statistical calculations are needed to figure out whether an experiment implies something or not - so your suggestion that the experiments should avoid statistics is just another feature highlighting your complete intellectual inadequacy.

reader qkcmnt2 said...

Crackpot and intellect... inadeq... are insults.
You won't go.*anywhere* insulting people
You're doing disinformation with n :) yes you understood it !

reader Smoking Frog said...

"Informatiom" is to "information" as "axiom" is to "axion."

reader Luboš Motl said...

Or Ron to ROM. ;-)

reader NikFromNYC said...

In synthetic chemistry and nanofabrication, results are just as absolute as the macroscopic field of engineering, but they are still classified as hard sciences. However they can make 100% wrong mistakes in identification of a structure, and this is a huge concern that means peer reviewers insist on overwhelming, overlapping structural confirmation. That is why as a chemist I was shocked at how overly certain climate “scientists” were, minus trying to falsify their own results, but then soon realized it was all just a big brazen Enron level scam anyway, merged into a madness of crowds doomsday cult.

-=NikFromNYC=-, Ph.D. in carbon chemistry (Columbia/Harvard)

reader Nancy said...

But that is just great. So what is the problem?