- a hospital spokesman said the chances that "one problematic birdshot" would migrate as it has toward Whittington's heart are "one in 99.99."
- one in 100, i.e. 1 percent, expressed with a nonsensical accuracy
- or one in 10,000 i.e. 0.01 percent (so that the complement has a 99.99% probability)
Every blog interprets this story according to its ideology. This blog first of all wishes Mr. Whittington strong nerves and good luck to become fit once again (he has a strong heart), and second of all we use it as an example of the unscientific nature of most Bayesian estimates.