## Thursday, September 30, 2010

### Royal Society abandons consensus on AGW

We have learned from Anthony Watts and GWPF that
Royal Society bows to climate change sceptics (The Times, today; BBC)
or skeptics, if you're a teabagger. ;-)

The Velvet Revolution sparked by the ClimateGate needed almost one year to propagate from East Anglia to the top U.K. scientific institution in London which is just 100 miles away; you may estimate how many years it will take for the signal to get to the Brussels or the U.S. ;-)

After a rebellion by 43 members, a new document (PDF) was born. It describes the future climate as follows:
... Some uncertainties are unlikely ever to be significantly reduced. ...

... The size of future temperature increases and other aspects of climate change, especially at the regional scale, are still subject to uncertainty. ...

... There is little confidence in specific projections of future regional climate change, except at continental scales. ...

... It is not possible to determine exactly how much the Earth will warm or exactly how the climate will change in the future. ...

... There remains the possibility that hitherto unknown aspects of the climate and climate change could emerge and lead to significant modifications in our understanding. ...
And so on. So go back to the blackboard, Sirs. While I am convinced that the new guide still includes lots of bogus claims that are on steroids written by people who are on sedatives, it is an undeniable progress.

The new document was authored by a whole working group but the key statements about the uncertainty were recommended by two fellows who are close to Lord Blaby and his GWPF. One of them was Anthony Kelly.

If you think that the new document will cause a substantial cooling of the atmosphere itself, you are probably wrong. As commenter Henry chance of WUWT has figured out, Joe Romm will blow a gasket. The fireworks and steam vent from that alone will warm the winter.